 Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?Politics | Yes | $319 | 60¢ | 95¢ | +$184 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $230 | 42¢ | 80¢ | +$203 |
 Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $236 | 45¢ | 61¢ | +$81 |
| Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $137 | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$83 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $108 | 45¢ | 87¢ | +$100 |
 No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $169 | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$30 |
| Will "Hacks" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $17 | 3.3¢ | 37¢ | +$173 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $119 | 58¢ | 80¢ | +$45 |
| Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $124 | 58¢ | 73¢ | +$33 |
 Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $108 | 34¢ | 47¢ | +$43 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $36 | 30¢ | 98¢ | +$82 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $245 | 45¢ | 21¢ | -$133 |
| Will "Beef" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $67 | 37¢ | 59¢ | +$39 |
| Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $86 | 48¢ | 40¢ | -$15 |
| Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $77 | 24¢ | 22¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $34 | 48¢ | 85¢ | +$26 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $33 | 55¢ | 98¢ | +$25 |
| Will "Pluribus" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $44 | 59¢ | 71¢ | +$9 |
 Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $9 | 16¢ | 90¢ | +$41 |
 No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $38 | 85¢ | 96¢ | +$5 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $71 | 35¢ | 21¢ | -$29 |
| Will Republicans win 1 Senate and Governor election in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $30 | 9.4¢ | 13¢ | +$10 |
 Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $30 | 27¢ | 37¢ | +$11 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $26 | 24¢ | 35¢ | +$12 |
| Will Oscar Isaac – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $30 | 59¢ | 67¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $29 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 8.6¢ | 39¢ | +$24 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $32 | 72¢ | 68¢ | -$2 |
 Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $17 | 24¢ | 42¢ | +$12 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $119 | 48¢ | 12¢ | -$91 |
| Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $211 | 41¢ | 4.9¢ | -$186 |
| Will Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $22 | 63¢ | 73¢ | +$3 |
| Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?Politics | Yes | $175 | 33¢ | 4.6¢ | -$151 |
 Chicago Fire FC to score first vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC?MLS | Yes | $23 | 46¢ | 47¢ | +$0 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC to score first vs. Chicago Fire FC?MLS | Yes | $23 | 45¢ | 47¢ | +$1 |
| Will Sarah Pidgeon – “Love Story: John F. Kennedy Jr. and Carolyn Bessette” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $5 | 9.0¢ | 38¢ | +$18 |
| Will “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $41 | 19¢ | 11¢ | -$19 |
| Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $24 | 41¢ | 37¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $21 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$0 |
| Will Republicans win 0 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $16 | 5.1¢ | 6.1¢ | +$3 |
| Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.8¢ | 28¢ | +$14 |
| Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?Culture | Yes | $16 | 79¢ | 96¢ | +$3 |
| Will "Pluribus" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $23 | 30¢ | 26¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $23 | 29¢ | 21¢ | -$7 |
 Will voter turnout be between 78% and 80% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | Yes | $17 | 37¢ | 37¢ | -$0 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $663,000 and $689,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 3.9¢ | 79¢ | +$15 |
 Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be less than 30k?Culture | Yes | $12 | 60¢ | 73¢ | +$3 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $11 | 57¢ | 72¢ | +$3 |
| Will Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $8 | 17¢ | 28¢ | +$5 |
| Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | Yes | $12 | 27¢ | 31¢ | +$2 |
 No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 68¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $20 | 25¢ | 17¢ | -$7 |
| Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 16¢ | 28¢ | +$5 |
| Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $4 | 1.7¢ | 5.8¢ | +$9 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $6 | 5.9¢ | 11¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $14 | 57¢ | 46¢ | -$3 |
| Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.2¢ | 16¢ | +$9 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $35 | 16¢ | 5.3¢ | -$24 |
| Will voter turnout be between 80% and 82% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 19¢ | 24¢ | +$2 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Economy | Yes | $11 | 36¢ | 36¢ | -$0 |
| Will “Jimmy Kimmel Live!” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $32 | 15¢ | 4.7¢ | -$22 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $17 | 21¢ | 13¢ | -$7 |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Economy | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 33¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 40¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 19¢ | 28¢ | +$3 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $9 | 29¢ | 32¢ | +$1 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $34 | 31¢ | 8.5¢ | -$24 |
| Will Republicans win 4 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Politics | Yes | $51 | 16¢ | 2.9¢ | -$42 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $524,000 and $530,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $7 | 22¢ | 31¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $8 | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$1 |
| Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $38 | 54¢ | 13¢ | -$29 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $30 | 43¢ | 13¢ | -$21 |
| Will Sarah Snook – “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $17 | 28¢ | 14¢ | -$8 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $2 | 15¢ | 84¢ | +$7 |
| Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Neither team to score first?MLS | Yes | $3 | 5.0¢ | 16¢ | +$5 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $6 | 5.7¢ | 7.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 27¢ | 46¢ | +$3 |
| Will Sally Field – “Remarkably Bright Creatures” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Culture | Yes | $9 | 14¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
| Will "Beef" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $6 | 3.5¢ | 3.4¢ | -$0 |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 30¢ | -$1 |
 Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Economy | Yes | $5 | 46¢ | 57¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Economy | Yes | $1 | 3.2¢ | 12¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $2 | 3.0¢ | 6.7¢ | +$3 |
| Will Stephen Root – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $3 | 34¢ | 54¢ | +$2 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
| Will "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 30k and 40k?Culture | Yes | $3 | 15¢ | 25¢ | +$2 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $3 | 31¢ | 48¢ | +$2 |
 Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?Politics | Yes | $3 | 52¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Economy | Yes | $3 | 10¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
| Will “Saturday Night Live” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Culture | Yes | $5 | 2.2¢ | 2.1¢ | -$0 |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Economy | Yes | $6 | 20¢ | 14¢ | -$2 |
| Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $1 | 0.7¢ | 3.7¢ | +$3 |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $6 | 56¢ | 41¢ | -$2 |
| Will Sepideh Moafi – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?Culture | Yes | $2 | 5.8¢ | 11¢ | +$2 |
| Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 23¢ | 26¢ | +$0 |
| Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?Culture | Yes | $4 | 43¢ | 38¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.7¢ | -$2 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?Economy | Yes | $9 | 43¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 36¢ | 35¢ | -$0 |
| Will "Hacks" win 6 or 7 awards at the Emmys?Culture | Yes | $20 | 3.9¢ | 0.7¢ | -$17 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$3853d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?$454d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?$354d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?$304d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$329d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?$159d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?$659d ago