guesswhatwhat

Predicting since Apr 202637 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.5K on Politics markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $1.8K across 4 Politics markets.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto	Yes	$215	31¢	17¢	-$101
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Crypto	Yes	$50	36¢	31¢	-$8
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$882	23¢	0.0¢	-$882
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$210	59¢	0.0¢	-$210
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$10	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$10
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Politics	YesResolved	$25	15¢	0.0¢	-$25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics	YesResolved	$100	56¢	0.0¢	-$100
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$24	16¢	0.0¢	-$24
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$20	13¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$116	33¢	0.0¢	-$116
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$160	15¢	0.0¢	-$160
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$28	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$28
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?Finance	YesResolved	$322	28¢	0.0¢	-$322
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by April 30, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$24	48¢	0.0¢	-$24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	39¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$400	35¢	0.0¢	-$400
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Politics	YesResolved	$150	68¢	0.0¢	-$150
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?Politics	NoResolved	$10	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump say "Air Force" during WHCA Dinner events?Mentions	YesResolved	$39	37¢	0.0¢	-$39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1.2K	60¢	0.0¢	-$1.2K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$50	28¢	0.0¢	-$50
Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in April 2026?Crypto	YesResolved	$110	46¢	0.0¢	-$110
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$58	33¢	0.0¢	-$58

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$2.5K

Crypto-$217

Finance-$58

Mentions-$39

Biggest hit

+$507

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Toughest beat

-$50

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 21?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$42mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$52mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$102mo ago
Sold No · Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$192mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$42mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$12mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in April 2026?$52mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$282mo ago
Bought Yes · Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$102mo ago
Bought No · Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$12mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$102mo ago
Bought No · Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$12mo ago