← Whale Watch

iawa

Predicting since Jun 2025956 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?TechNoResolved$2026¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$322¢0.0¢-$3
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$10089¢0.0¢-$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$55.3¢0.0¢-$5
Solana Up or Down - January 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$146¢0.0¢-$1
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?TechNoResolved$2060¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$136¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?TechYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$4837¢0.0¢-$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$153¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$161¢0.0¢-$1
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$107.8¢0.0¢-$10
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?TechNoResolved$3339¢0.0¢-$33
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?TechYesResolved$2061¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$01.0¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$24.7¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$278¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCryptoDownResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2010¢0.0¢-$20
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?TechYesResolved$3011¢0.0¢-$30
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?TechNoResolved$2392¢0.0¢-$23
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?TechYesResolved$1036¢0.0¢-$10
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?TechYesResolved$1538¢0.0¢-$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$39.9¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETCryptoDownResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$126¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$127¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCryptoDownResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Tech-$291
Crypto-$164
Politics-$20
NBA+$15
NFL+$1
Biggest hit
+$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET
Toughest beat
-$63
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1AM ET

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$3014d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$15925d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?$8425d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$1927d ago
  • Bought No · Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$101mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$101mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$151mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$51mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$201mo ago
  • Bought No · Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$211mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$101mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$1001mo ago