 Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 XRP Up or Down - January 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $100 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Solana Up or Down - January 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $20 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $4 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $60 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 7.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?Tech | NoResolved | $33 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $17 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $30 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?Tech | NoResolved | $23 | 92¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $15 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $11 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Cashed out No · Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1592mo ago