 Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Tech | No | $23 | 51¢ | 97¢ | +$21 |
 Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31?Politics | No | $47 | 52¢ | 48¢ | -$4 |
 Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Politics | Yes | $21 | 52¢ | 71¢ | +$8 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by December 31?Tech | No | $13 | 63¢ | 83¢ | +$4 |
 Will Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $19 | 31¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
 Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $32 | 42¢ | 20¢ | -$17 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 0%-3%?Politics | No | $15 | 84¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
| Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2027?Crypto | Yes | $15 | 76¢ | 75¢ | -$0 |
| Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by December 31?Politics | Yes | $15 | 51¢ | 52¢ | +$0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Tech | No | $6 | 28¢ | 71¢ | +$9 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Tech | No | $7 | 37¢ | 66¢ | +$6 |
 Will Puka Nacua have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $9 | 46¢ | 64¢ | +$4 |
 Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Politics | No | $17 | 85¢ | 62¢ | -$5 |
 Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | No | $12 | 62¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
 Will Abimbola Adekanmbi win the 2027 Oyo State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 50¢ | 57¢ | +$2 |
 Will Uba Sani win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election?Politics | No | $8 | 38¢ | 47¢ | +$2 |
 Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | No | $8 | 78¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 40¢ | -$2 |
 Will Carnell Tate have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $12 | 58¢ | 39¢ | -$4 |
 Will Andrea Horwath win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 51¢ | 39¢ | -$3 |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?Politics | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 38¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?Politics | Yes | $4 | 20¢ | 37¢ | +$3 |
 Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $10 | 48¢ | 33¢ | -$3 |
 Will Bijan Robinson have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $10 | 49¢ | 29¢ | -$4 |
 Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?Politics | No | $6 | 32¢ | 28¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 25%-30%?Politics | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
 Will Carlos Viana win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 27¢ | 14¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Politics | Yes | $8 | 39¢ | 27¢ | -$2 |
 Will Daniele Monroe-Moreno win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election?Politics | No | $10 | 48¢ | 26¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Politics | Yes | $8 | 38¢ | 26¢ | -$3 |
 Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?Weather | No | $10 | 49¢ | 25¢ | -$5 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 25¢ | -$2 |
 Will Kyle Monangai have 449.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $9 | 46¢ | 23¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 23¢ | -$2 |
 Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 18¢ | 21¢ | +$1 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Tech | No | $16 | 79¢ | 20¢ | -$12 |
 Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 6%-9%?Politics | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$0 |
 Will Jacory Croskey-Merritt have 574.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | No | $12 | 58¢ | 20¢ | -$8 |
 Will Manir Muhammad Dan Iya win the 2027 Sokoto State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $7 | 41¢ | 25¢ | -$3 |
| Will SER have the second-most seats after the French Senate Election?Politics | No | $7 | 56¢ | 30¢ | -$3 |
 Will The Fall-Off (J. Cole) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | Yes | $5 | 40¢ | 28¢ | -$2 |
 Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $9 | 44¢ | 19¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 18¢ | -$3 |
 Will Abdullahi Sharif win the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $27 | 31¢ | 4.0¢ | -$23 |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $3 | 32¢ | 39¢ | +$1 |
 Will Maurice Vunobolki win the 2027 Adamawa State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 17¢ | -$5 |
 John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 31¢ | 17¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 0%-3%?Politics | Yes | $5 | 24¢ | 15¢ | -$2 |
 Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Tech | Yes | $3 | 15¢ | 17¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ibrahim Abba Gana win the 2027 Borno State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 10¢ | 7.3¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jaylen Waddle have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
 Will voters pick the 1873 Colt Single Action Army Revolver "Peacemaker" (.45 Colt) as the state gun of Idaho?Politics | Yes | $6 | 32¢ | 14¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?Politics | Yes | $4 | 66¢ | 53¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ja'Marr Chase have 14.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 14¢ | -$6 |
 Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 13¢ | -$7 |
 Will Drake London have 11.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 13¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Tennessee Senate election by 40%-45%?Politics | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 13¢ | -$2 |
 Will YMTC be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Politics | Yes | $10 | 49¢ | 13¢ | -$7 |
 Will Michael Aondoakaa win the 2027 Benue State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 24¢ | 6.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Jake Ferguson have 924.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?NFL | Yes | $9 | 46¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
| Will XRP hit $2 by March 31, 2027?Crypto | No | $6 | 57¢ | 23¢ | -$3 |
 Will Drew Mestemaker be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?NFL | Yes | $8 | 39¢ | 11¢ | -$6 |
 Will Jordy Estiven Rioja Cruzado win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $6 | 30¢ | 11¢ | -$4 |
 Will Duber Alberto Fernández Silva win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 23¢ | 11¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-04 House election by 25% or more?Politics | Yes | $6 | 28¢ | 10¢ | -$4 |
 Will Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu win the 2027 Nayarit Governor Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 9.8¢ | -$3 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 33¢ | 9.6¢ | -$5 |
 Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Politics | Yes | $9 | 47¢ | 9.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | No | $6 | 29¢ | 8.5¢ | -$4 |
| Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Politics | Yes | $10 | 48¢ | 8.5¢ | -$8 |
 Will Nvidia be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $7 | 14¢ | 3.4¢ | -$5 |
 Will the Labour Party (LP) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 43¢ | 8.1¢ | -$7 |
 Will Kassim Gana Geidam win the 2027 Yobe State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $3 | 13¢ | 7.4¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 6.7¢ | -$8 |
| Will I Just Might (Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Culture | Yes | $8 | 40¢ | 6.5¢ | -$7 |
 Will Denis Zvizdić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Politics | Yes | $2 | 23¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jio Platforms IPO by December 31, 2026?Tech | No | $7 | 36¢ | 6.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?Politics | Yes | $5 | 26¢ | 6.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 20%-25%?Politics | Yes | $7 | 35¢ | 6.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Mahadi Aliyu Gusau win the 2027 Zamfara State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 5.3¢ | -$3 |
 Will Diego González (Santos Laguna) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Liga MX season?Soccer (other) | Yes | $4 | 19¢ | 5.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Rhode Island gubernatorial election by 30%-35%?Politics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 10¢ | -$3 |
 Will Nkwoala Emeka win the 2027 Delta State gubernatorial election?Politics | Yes | $2 | 12¢ | 5.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 29?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will Trump say "Century" during remarks at NASA?Mentions | YesResolved | $31 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$31 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of August 24 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Leavitt say "Hormuz" or "Strait" during the next White House Press Briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $20 | 67¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?Economy | NoResolved | $11 | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of August 24 2026?Finance | YesResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Trump say "America First" this week?Mentions | NoResolved | $9 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
 Will "Japan" be in the headlines this week?Mentions | YesResolved | $27 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 24 2026?Finance | NoResolved | $6 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in August?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will Kyle Schwarber hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?MLB | YesResolved | $10 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump say "Tango" in August?Mentions | YesResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Jessica Tisch be out as New York City Police Commissioner by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $27 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Cashed out Yes · Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?$2018h ago
Cashed out No · Will there be a power grid emergency in Texas before October 1?$201d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown?$53d ago
Cashed out No · Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?$2012d ago
Cashed out No · Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1200?$914d ago
Sold Yes · Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?$422d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Trump pardon anyone by September 30?$4022d ago
MERGE Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?$2522d ago