← Whale Watch

chino69

Predicting since Dec 2025646 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.8K on Politics markets since Dec 2025.

Right now: $2.7K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.0K on Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$2.7K98¢99¢+$17
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1195.9¢6.0¢+$2
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?PoliticsNo$202.4¢6.1¢+$30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?PoliticsNo$1517¢17¢-$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1514¢11¢-$3
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?PoliticsYes$30.8¢2.2¢+$5
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$547¢56¢+$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$121.0¢0.4¢-$6
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?TechNoResolved$61.4¢0.0¢-$6
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$949.4¢0.0¢-$94
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?PoliticsNoResolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3eSportsTheMongolzResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?TechYesResolved$43.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$53069¢0.0¢-$530
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$00.2¢0.0¢-$0
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$41.9¢0.0¢-$4
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$1135¢0.0¢-$11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$4314¢0.0¢-$43
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?TechYesResolved$131.0¢0.0¢-$13
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$441¢0.0¢-$4
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$10441¢0.0¢-$104
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?CultureYesResolved$8039¢0.0¢-$80
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$61.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$174.3¢0.0¢-$17
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?CultureYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?PoliticsYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?CryptoYesResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?PoliticsYesResolved$110¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$442.2¢0.0¢-$44
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$717¢0.0¢-$7
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?World CupNoResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$36.1¢0.0¢-$3
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?TechNoResolved$4010¢0.0¢-$40
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$63.1¢0.0¢-$6
Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?CultureNoResolved$4141¢0.0¢-$41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$90.6¢0.0¢-$9
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3eSportsPARIVISIONResolved$656¢0.0¢-$6
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$915¢0.0¢-$9
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAJack Della MaddalenaResolved$5628¢0.0¢-$56
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$122.0¢0.0¢-$12
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$816¢0.0¢-$8
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?CultureYesResolved$1217¢0.0¢-$12
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?TechYesResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? PoliticsYesResolved$14.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5217¢0.0¢-$52
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?PoliticsNoResolved$457.9¢0.0¢-$45
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$01.7¢0.0¢-$0
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3eSportsG2Resolved$438¢0.0¢-$4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3eSportsB8Resolved$326¢0.0¢-$3
Will Al Green be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?PoliticsYesResolved$49.7¢0.0¢-$4
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?CultureYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?eSportsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$611¢0.0¢-$6
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$264.9¢0.0¢-$26
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$40.6¢0.0¢-$4
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$714.2¢0.0¢-$71

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$2.8K
Culture-$284
eSports-$139
Crypto+$110
Tech-$100
UFC / MMA-$53
World Cup-$27
Finance-$15
Other sports+$13
Olympics-$11
Mentions-$9
College Football+$5
Biggest hit
+$1.0K
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$662
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$8231m ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$2.7K1h ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$2.7K1h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$02h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$182h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?$203h ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$563h ago
  • Bought No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$53h ago
  • Sold No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$23h ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$114h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$64814h ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$96214h ago