← Whale Watch

Oso1

Predicting since Jun 2025133 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$82.1¢2.0¢-$1
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsYes$57.0¢9.5¢+$2
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?CryptoYes$107.2¢3.8¢-$5
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsYes$616¢13¢-$1
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$566¢67¢+$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?PoliticsNo$553¢48¢-$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?PoliticsYes$1113¢4.3¢-$7
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$102.1¢0.4¢-$8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$37.5¢3.6¢-$2
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?PoliticsYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?CryptoYesResolved$72.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?CultureNoResolved$329¢0.0¢-$3
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 28-30 ET?PoliticsYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$166.2¢0.0¢-$16
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?World CupYesResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCryptoUpResolved$12.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?FinanceYesResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$72.8¢0.0¢-$7
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$339¢0.0¢-$3
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$2816¢0.0¢-$28
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World CupYesResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$320¢0.0¢-$3
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$2730¢0.0¢-$27
Macron out by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1321¢0.0¢-$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$67.6¢0.0¢-$6
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1215¢0.0¢-$12
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?FinanceYesResolved$82.2¢0.0¢-$8
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?PoliticsYesResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETCryptoUpResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$59.6¢0.0¢-$5
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$13.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8?CryptoYesResolved$1716¢0.0¢-$17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?CryptoYesResolved$553¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETCryptoDownResolved$238¢0.0¢-$2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3211¢0.0¢-$32
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$537¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?CryptoYesResolved$54.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$23.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in May?FinanceYesResolved$41.6¢0.0¢-$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?FinanceYesResolved$42.2¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$340¢0.0¢-$3
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$55.6¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?PoliticsYesResolved$22.2¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$34.4¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETCryptoUpResolved$149.2¢0.0¢-$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?World CupYesResolved$19.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6?CryptoYesResolved$327¢0.0¢-$3
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?PoliticsYesResolved$113¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: Any Other Score?World CupYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$1530¢0.0¢-$15
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$424¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETCryptoUpResolved$635¢0.0¢-$6
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$218.6¢0.0¢-$21
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?World CupYesResolved$38.0¢0.0¢-$3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$13.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?PoliticsYesResolved$574¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCryptoDownResolved$84.6¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETCryptoDownResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$92.0¢0.0¢-$9
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?CryptoYesResolved$72.2¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$33.7¢0.0¢-$3
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$510¢0.0¢-$5
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$35.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?FinanceYesResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$217¢0.0¢-$2
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?FinanceYesResolved$31.0¢0.0¢-$3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?PoliticsYesResolved$1113¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCryptoDownResolved$41.8¢0.0¢-$4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?PoliticsYesResolved$112¢0.0¢-$1
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$619¢0.0¢-$6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?FinanceYesResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?PoliticsYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$40.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?PoliticsNoResolved$436¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETCryptoUpResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$86.2¢0.0¢-$8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$21.4¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$711¢0.0¢-$7
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?PoliticsYesResolved$11.7¢0.0¢-$1
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?World CupYesResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?PoliticsYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETCryptoDownResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?CryptoYesResolved$918¢0.0¢-$9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$10.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?FinanceNoResolved$36.0¢0.0¢-$3
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?World CupYesResolved$27.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?PoliticsYesResolved$713¢0.0¢-$7
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?TechYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$58
Politics-$33
Finance-$27
World Cup-$27
Tech-$5
Culture-$4
Biggest hit
+$110
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
Toughest beat
-$15
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?$32d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56d ago
  • Bought France · France vs. Spain: Team to Advance$312d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?$112d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?$112d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?$112d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?$112d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?$112d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will France win on 2026-07-14?$512d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: Any Other Score?$516d ago
  • Bought Yes · Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?$316d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$116d ago