Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $8 | 2.1¢ | 2.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$2 |
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Crypto | Yes | $10 | 7.2¢ | 3.8¢ | -$5 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Politics | Yes | $6 | 16¢ | 13¢ | -$1 |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $5 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$0 |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics | No | $5 | 53¢ | 48¢ | -$0 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | Yes | $11 | 13¢ | 4.3¢ | -$7 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $10 | 2.1¢ | 0.4¢ | -$8 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $3 | 7.5¢ | 3.6¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Crypto | YesResolved | $7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Culture | NoResolved | $3 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 28-30 ET?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $16 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 2.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $2 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | FranceResolved | $3 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $28 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$28 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $3 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?Politics | YesResolved | $27 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
Macron out by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $6 | 7.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $12 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $8 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 9.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 8?Crypto | YesResolved | $17 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $4 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $14 | 9.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Maduro out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $6 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $21 | 8.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$21 |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $8 | 4.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?Crypto | YesResolved | $7 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?Finance | YesResolved | $1 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Finance | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 6.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $7 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?Crypto | YesResolved | $9 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?Finance | NoResolved | $3 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |