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Predicting since Mar 202694 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $21K on Politics markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $59K across 2 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$6.7K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$30K50¢80¢+$18K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$30K50¢20¢-$18K
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsYes$9.8K79¢93¢+$1.6K
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$10.0K100¢100¢-$5
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$9.4K94¢95¢+$96
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?PoliticsNo$8.6K90¢95¢+$512
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$7.4K74¢81¢+$650
Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?PoliticsNo$5.8K90¢99¢+$588
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsNo$2.8K24¢34¢+$1.2K
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?EconomyYes$2.3K23¢20¢-$305
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$1.7K92¢97¢+$82
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July?CryptoYes$972.2¢1.7¢-$24
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?PoliticsYes$3722¢22¢-$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?CryptoYes$691.1¢0.5¢-$34
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$1332¢34¢+$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?FinanceYesResolved$1469.7¢0.0¢-$146
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$1047¢0.0¢-$10
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1452.9¢0.0¢-$145
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$46418¢0.0¢-$464
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?TechNoResolved$1523.8¢0.0¢-$152
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?PoliticsYesResolved$2522.8¢0.0¢-$252
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?TechNoResolved$3793.9¢0.0¢-$379
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Speech to the Nation?MentionsYesResolved$9814¢0.0¢-$98
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$6800.7¢0.0¢-$680
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$30369¢0.0¢-$303
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.4K18¢0.0¢-$1.4K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?TechNoResolved$3867.0¢0.0¢-$386
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2655.1¢0.0¢-$265
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2.6K6.5¢0.0¢-$2.6K
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3830¢0.0¢-$38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2.1K62¢0.0¢-$2.1K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$21K
Mentions+$3.1K
Tech-$557
World Cup+$456
Crypto+$438
Economy-$305
Finance-$146
Weather+$141
Biggest hit
+$6.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3.0K
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$9.4K3h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6.9K16h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1616h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$6516h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$017h ago
  • Bought No · Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$40917h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.0K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1031d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$51d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.0K1d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$51d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4611d ago