ragbag

Predicting since Feb 202525 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?Politics	YesResolved	$5	36¢	0.0¢	-$5
Will the Government shutdown end October 6-9?Politics	YesResolved	$10	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Politics	YesResolved	$10	45¢	0.0¢	-$10
US government shutdown by October 1?Politics	NoResolved	$31	56¢	0.0¢	-$31
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?Politics	NoResolved	$30	18¢	0.0¢	-$30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$20	16¢	0.0¢	-$20
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$20	30¢	0.0¢	-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$5	16¢	0.0¢	-$5
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Culture	YesResolved	$10	18¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?Politics	YesResolved	$10	24¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$20	35¢	0.0¢	-$20
Israel strikes Gaza by October 24?Politics	NoResolved	$40	14¢	0.0¢	-$40
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	8.7¢	0.0¢	-$10
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	14¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?Politics	YesResolved	$10	21¢	0.0¢	-$10
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$10	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 20?Politics	NoResolved	$40	55¢	0.0¢	-$40

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$201

Tech+$12

Culture-$10

Economy-$1

Biggest hit

+$123

Greta Thunberg arrested by September 30?

Toughest beat

-$26

Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?

Recent moves

Cashed out Yes · TikTok sale announced in 2025?$06mo ago
Cashed out Yes · TikTok sale announced in 2025?$226mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$58mo ago
Bought Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$108mo ago
Sold Yes · Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?$198mo ago
Sold Yes · Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?$88mo ago
Bought No · Will Israel strike Gaza on October 20?$409mo ago
Bought No · Israel strikes Gaza by October 24?$409mo ago
Bought Yes · Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?$109mo ago
Sold Yes · Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$99mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$89mo ago
Bought Yes · No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$109mo ago