← Whale Watch

erlichbachmn

Predicting since May 2026132 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $6.7K on Politics markets since May 2026.

Right now: $3.9K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.1K on France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?EconomyYes$43664¢56¢-$61
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?TechYes$37842¢35¢-$62
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsYes$67675¢29¢-$413
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?EconomyYes$20049¢25¢-$100
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$10324¢20¢-$20
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?PoliticsNo$7597¢96¢-$1
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?EconomyYes$19783¢30¢-$126
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$9294¢69¢-$25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$6829¢24¢-$12
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81CryptoYes$11938¢12¢-$83
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?CryptoYes$4539¢17¢-$26
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?TechYes$1379¢59¢-$3
England to win the second half?World CupYesResolved$1.3K28¢0.0¢-$1.3K
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$2.8K55¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfWorld CupYesResolved$20019¢0.0¢-$200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$8822¢0.0¢-$88
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5823¢0.0¢-$58
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$76157¢0.0¢-$761
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2261¢0.0¢-$22
New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5Other sportsUnderResolved$630¢0.0¢-$6
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5World CupOverResolved$611.7¢0.0¢-$61
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$7015¢0.0¢-$70
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$3618¢0.0¢-$36
Argentina leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$10022¢0.0¢-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$35661¢0.0¢-$356
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsWorld CupYesResolved$186.0¢0.0¢-$18
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$37910¢0.0¢-$379
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$38034¢0.0¢-$380
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$9823¢0.0¢-$98
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$11822¢0.0¢-$118
Spain leading at halftime?World CupYesResolved$50019¢0.0¢-$500
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?World CupYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.0K52¢0.0¢-$1.0K
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$10011¢0.0¢-$100
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$4003.8¢0.0¢-$400
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?PoliticsYesResolved$14225¢0.0¢-$142
Will Argentina finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$9320¢0.0¢-$93
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5World CupOverResolved$198.9¢0.0¢-$19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$17730¢0.0¢-$177
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$19679¢0.0¢-$196
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$8414¢0.0¢-$84
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5World CupOverResolved$10010.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on June 30, 2026?TechYesResolved$14721¢0.0¢-$147
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$102.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$18853¢0.0¢-$188
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10013¢0.0¢-$100
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$613.8¢0.0¢-$61
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$505.0¢0.0¢-$50
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$984.9¢0.0¢-$98
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$111.6¢0.0¢-$11
New York Liberty vs. Indiana FeverOther sportsNew York LibertyResolved$5050¢0.0¢-$50
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$100.8¢0.0¢-$10
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5World CupOverResolved$100068¢0.0¢-$1000
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$26051¢0.0¢-$260
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? PoliticsYesResolved$49852¢0.0¢-$498
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$16638¢0.0¢-$166
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?PoliticsYesResolved$9376¢0.0¢-$93
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?World CupYesResolved$1.0K51¢0.0¢-$1.0K
PortlandFire vs. Minnesota LynxOther sportsPortlandFireResolved$329.0¢0.0¢-$32
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Formula 1NoResolved$32841¢0.0¢-$328
Utah Royals FC vs. Orlando Pride: Orlando Pride 1st Half O/U 1.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$811¢0.0¢-$8

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$6.7K
World Cup-$1.8K
Crypto-$1.3K
Tech-$427
Formula 1-$316
Economy-$287
Other sports-$58
Soccer (other)-$8
Biggest hit
+$1.1K
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
Toughest beat
-$1.5K
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Yes · Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$596d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?$9526d ago
  • Sold Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$6926d ago
  • Bought Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$386d ago
  • Bought Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$3256d ago
  • Bought Spain · Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$2396d ago
  • Sold Yes · Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$2696d ago
  • Sold Yes · Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$1.7K6d ago
  • Sold Yes · Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$10006d ago