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stakezilla

Predicting since Jan 202522 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1000 riding on Which company has best AI model end of August?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$100087¢91¢+$44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$51.5¢0.7¢-$3
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$103.8¢0.7¢-$8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$1046¢0.0¢-$10
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?PoliticsYesResolved$103.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$2072¢0.0¢-$20
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?PoliticsNoResolved$948.7¢0.0¢-$94
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$2011¢0.0¢-$20
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?PoliticsYesResolved$5227¢0.0¢-$52
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$5090¢0.0¢-$50
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?MentionsYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?PoliticsYesResolved$507.9¢0.0¢-$50
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10014¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$441
Tech+$323
World Cup-$10
Mentions-$5
Biggest hit
+$643
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Toughest beat
-$41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?$1.0K8d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.1K8d ago
  • Bought No · Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$501mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$51mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$101mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$101mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.0K1mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.0K1mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$6021mo ago
  • Sold No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1121mo ago
  • Sold No · Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4091mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3032mo ago