Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $100 | 43¢ | 21¢ | -$52 |
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Politics | Yes | $36 | 18¢ | 24¢ | +$11 |
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Politics | No | $40 | 54¢ | 24¢ | -$23 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | Yes | $30 | 36¢ | 5.5¢ | -$25 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?World Cup | YesResolved | $30 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Solana Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ETCrypto | DownResolved | $4 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Elon tweet between 900 and 949 times September 1–30?Culture | NoResolved | $45 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$45 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Culture | NoResolved | $3 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?Culture | NoResolved | $15 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 22?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $24 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?Culture | NoResolved | $4 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?Tech | YesResolved | $3 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $25 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?Economy | NoResolved | $6 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will Israel strike 2 countries in December 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on October 1 ET?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?Politics | YesResolved | $15 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) beat quarterly earnings?Economy | NoResolved | $10 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Ilia TopuriaResolved | $20 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Elon tweet between 950 and 999 times September 1–30?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 8.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Derrick LewisResolved | $10 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $40 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceWorld Cup | NorwayResolved | $20 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $20 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Weather | NoResolved | $200 | 96¢ | 0.0¢ | -$200 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $10 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)UFC / MMA | Michael ChandlerResolved | $10 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 8.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $40 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$40 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $9 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $4 | 4.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberPolitics | NoResolved | $94 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$94 |
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 3?Crypto | YesResolved | $5 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will annual inflation increase by between 33% and 35.9% in December?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?Politics | NoResolved | $20 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |