gaer4

Predicting since Dec 202533 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?Politics	NoResolved	$5	72¢	100¢	+$2
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Politics	Yes	$3	68¢	51¢	-$1
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather	Yes	$1	28¢	48¢	+$1
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?Politics	NoResolved	$1	64¢	100¢	+$1
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	65¢	100¢	+$1
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Weather	Yes	$1	22¢	27¢	+$0
Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA	No	$1	92¢	98¢	+$0
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?Politics	NoResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	35¢	0.0¢	-$1
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?Weather	YesResolved	$1	0.1¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Tech	YesResolved	$1	47¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Benicio Del Toro be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	NoResolved	$1	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	25¢	0.0¢	-$1
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$1	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by March 31?Politics	NoResolved	$1	54¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?Weather	NoResolved	$1	54¢	0.0¢	-$1
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?Tech	YesResolved	$1	10.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Culture	NoResolved	$1	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Chloé Zhao be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture	NoResolved	$1	12¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will the US strike Somalia next?Politics	NoResolved	$1	30¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Tech	YesResolved	$1	27¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)Culture	NoResolved	$1	14¢	0.0¢	-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Politics	YesResolved	$1	9.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?Politics	YesResolved	$1	3.8¢	0.0¢	-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Other sports+$11

Finance+$6

Tech-$6

Politics-$6

Culture-$3

Weather-$1

UFC / MMA-$1

Biggest hit

+$11

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Recent moves

Bought Yes · Grok 4.20 released by January 31?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$16mo ago
Bought No · Will the US strike Somalia next?$16mo ago
Sold No · Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?$56mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?$46mo ago
Bought Yes · US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?$16mo ago
Bought No · Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?$16mo ago
Bought No · Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$16mo ago
Bought No · Will Carlos Ulberg be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?$16mo ago
Bought Yes · Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31?$16mo ago