← Whale Watch

SM21FE

Predicting since Nov 2024464 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.4K on Champions League markets since Nov 2024.

Right now: $750 riding on Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherYes$1038.6¢3.4¢-$63
Will Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$42.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will T.J. Watt win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$72.5¢0.0¢-$7
Will Geno Smith win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$50.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$400.4¢0.0¢-$40
Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?CryptoYesResolved$542.1¢0.0¢-$54
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$90.9¢0.0¢-$9
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-03-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1032¢0.0¢-$10
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?CryptoYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?PoliticsNoResolved$619¢0.0¢-$6
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?CryptoYesResolved$21.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?Soccer (other)YesResolved$944¢0.0¢-$9
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$400.2¢0.0¢-$40
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-21?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1275¢0.0¢-$12
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$422¢0.0¢-$4
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 7?PoliticsYesResolved$1423¢0.0¢-$14
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?CryptoYesResolved$826¢0.0¢-$8
Will Jared Goff win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Mediterranean Sea Rescue organizations win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie AYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$900.3¢0.0¢-$90
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?La LigaYesResolved$1654¢0.0¢-$16
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?CryptoYesResolved$460.4¢0.0¢-$46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?Champions LeagueNoResolved$1462¢0.0¢-$14
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?Champions LeagueYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?CryptoYesResolved$960.9¢0.0¢-$96
Will Derrick Henry win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$226.2¢0.0¢-$22
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?NFLYesResolved$814¢0.0¢-$8
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?CryptoYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will J.J. McCarthy win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$70.3¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Jets win the AFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$250.3¢0.0¢-$25
Will Olympiakos Piraeus win on 2025-09-17?Champions LeagueYesResolved$2172¢0.0¢-$21
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?Soccer (other)NoResolved$1258¢0.0¢-$12
Will Saquon Barkley win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$600.2¢0.0¢-$60
Will Baker Mayfield win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$00.5¢0.0¢-$0
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$600.2¢0.0¢-$60
Will Maxx Crosby win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-21?Soccer (other)YesResolved$945¢0.0¢-$9
Will Michael Penix win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$80.1¢0.0¢-$8
Will Brock Purdy win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$40.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?CryptoYesResolved$3216¢0.0¢-$32
Will Albania win on 2026-03-31?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2029¢0.0¢-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$11.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$400.2¢0.0¢-$40
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$400.2¢0.0¢-$40
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$145.9¢0.0¢-$14
Will Jayden Daniels win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-31?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1262¢0.0¢-$12
Will the Raiders win the AFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$120.3¢0.0¢-$12
Will Greece win on 2026-03-27?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2047¢0.0¢-$20
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$600.2¢0.0¢-$60
Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will France win on 2025-10-13?Soccer (other)YesResolved$930¢0.0¢-$9
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?La LigaYesResolved$945¢0.0¢-$9
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$1170.2¢0.0¢-$117
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-26?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1254¢0.0¢-$12
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?CultureYesResolved$1690.7¢0.0¢-$169
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreLa LigaYesResolved$1259¢0.0¢-$12
Will Tua Tagovailoa win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Will Daniel Jones win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$00.4¢0.0¢-$0
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$44.1¢0.0¢-$4
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$4814¢0.0¢-$48
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1364¢0.0¢-$13
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$70.2¢0.0¢-$7
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Micah Parsons win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?NFLYesResolved$40.3¢0.0¢-$4
Will Ukraine win on 2025-10-13?Soccer (other)NoResolved$722¢0.0¢-$7
Will the Giants win the 2026 NFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$160.5¢0.0¢-$16
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$197.1¢0.0¢-$19
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?CryptoYesResolved$2712¢0.0¢-$27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1655¢0.0¢-$16
Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?CryptoYesResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?CryptoNoResolved$75019¢0.0¢-$750
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$11328¢0.0¢-$113
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?Soccer (other)YesResolved$7751¢0.0¢-$77
Will England win on 2026-03-31?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2062¢0.0¢-$20
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?CryptoYesResolved$8528¢0.0¢-$85
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$600.3¢0.0¢-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?World CupNoResolved$1424¢0.0¢-$14
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?CultureYesResolved$600.2¢0.0¢-$60
Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$220.4¢0.0¢-$22
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1212¢0.0¢-$12
Champions League: Inter Milan vs. Barcelona (To Advance)Champions LeagueBarcelonaResolved$418¢0.0¢-$4
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?CryptoYesResolved$41.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will Portugal win on 2025-10-11?Soccer (other)NoResolved$524¢0.0¢-$5
Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$526¢0.0¢-$5
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Serie AYesResolved$72.4¢0.0¢-$7
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?CryptoYesResolved$3612¢0.0¢-$36
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Will the Titans win the AFC Championship?NFLYesResolved$90.3¢0.0¢-$9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?La LigaYesResolved$1263¢0.0¢-$12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$12.2¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Champions League+$2.4K
Culture+$1.0K
Crypto-$857
Other sports+$360
Politics+$252
NFL+$211
La Liga+$151
Soccer (other)-$117
MLB+$68
Weather-$63
Premier League+$33
Mentions-$19
Biggest hit
+$301
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Toughest beat
-$271
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8014d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7323d ago
  • Bought No · Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$1423d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20023d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1551mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?$302mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?$302mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$142mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?$22mo ago