← Whale Watch

ash3erman

Predicting since Mar 20261,183 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.3K on World Cup markets since Mar 2026.

Right now: $1.8K across 4 World Cup markets.

Biggest hit: +$4.5K on Starmer out by December 31, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1No$90471¢98¢+$343
Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsNo$83469¢76¢+$76
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$55579¢82¢+$21
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBANo$45195¢100¢+$24
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$8828.1¢4.0¢-$454
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?PoliticsYes$42367¢66¢-$12
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$27045¢47¢+$11
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?NBANo$20785¢100¢+$37
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OAI?TechYes$23759¢56¢-$13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$12868¢99¢+$59
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1Yes$4670¢69¢-$1
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoCryptoNothing$3692¢95¢+$1
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesMLBAtlanta Braves$3756¢56¢-$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsNo$3162¢67¢+$2
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)UFC / MMALudovit Klein$3167¢70¢+$1
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$1529¢48¢+$9
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Formula 1Yes$1928¢34¢+$4
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5MLBUnder$2049¢47¢-$1
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?PoliticsYes$1821¢20¢-$1
Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Other sportsYes$1274¢100¢+$4
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?WeatherYes$1346¢48¢+$0
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?CryptoYes$2242¢21¢-$11
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$531¢44¢+$2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsNo$483¢95¢+$0
Will OpenAI's public ticker be $OPAI?TechYes$114¢24¢+$1
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?PoliticsYes$129¢34¢+$0
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5Other sportsUnderResolved$7647¢0.0¢-$76
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesMLBMilwaukee BrewersResolved$12548¢0.0¢-$125
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2070¢0.0¢-$20
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben SheltonTennisBen SheltonResolved$40872¢0.0¢-$408
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03?Soccer (other)YesResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$1344¢0.0¢-$13
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27?Soccer (other)YesResolved$7956¢0.0¢-$79
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5MLBOverResolved$47568¢0.0¢-$475
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)Soccer (other)AS Monaco FCResolved$437¢0.0¢-$4
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsMLBChicago CubsResolved$14147¢0.0¢-$141
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverOther sportsIndiana FeverResolved$14656¢0.0¢-$146
Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFire: O/U 162.5Other sportsUnderResolved$2651¢0.0¢-$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1639.5¢0.0¢-$163
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White SoxMLBChicago White SoxResolved$853¢0.0¢-$8
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Other sportsNew York LibertyResolved$1256¢0.0¢-$12
Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?La LigaYesResolved$629¢0.0¢-$6
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5MLBOverResolved$852¢0.0¢-$8
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5MLBUnderResolved$149¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1957¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1071¢0.0¢-$10
Clippers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5NBAUnderResolved$1051¢0.0¢-$10
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 2.5Soccer (other)OverResolved$960¢0.0¢-$9
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5MLBOverResolved$2049¢0.0¢-$20
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5MLBUnderResolved$1364¢0.0¢-$13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or higher on April 11?WeatherYesResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupNoResolved$36660¢0.0¢-$366
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5MLBUnderResolved$1138¢0.0¢-$11
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles DodgersMLBLos Angeles DodgersResolved$28871¢0.0¢-$288
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5MLBUnderResolved$34457¢0.0¢-$344
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?GolfYesResolved$17.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?Premier LeagueYesResolved$88.0¢0.0¢-$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1621¢0.0¢-$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$1053¢0.0¢-$10
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5Other sportsUnderResolved$13349¢0.0¢-$133
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$6630¢0.0¢-$66
Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Michelsen (+1.5)TennisJodarResolved$6969¢0.0¢-$69
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$1919¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1955¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1047¢0.0¢-$10
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsMLBHouston AstrosResolved$1153¢0.0¢-$11
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee BrewersMLBNew York YankeesResolved$4954¢0.0¢-$49
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco GiantsMLBAtlanta BravesResolved$4545¢0.0¢-$45
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$4925¢0.0¢-$49
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 13?CryptoYesResolved$7167¢0.0¢-$71
Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty: O/U 167.5Other sportsUnderResolved$2549¢0.0¢-$25
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5College HoopsOverResolved$2254¢0.0¢-$22
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsMLBChicago White SoxResolved$947¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETCryptoDownResolved$561¢0.0¢-$5
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City RoyalsMLBKansas City RoyalsResolved$4646¢0.0¢-$46
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?MentionsYesResolved$669¢0.0¢-$6
Spread: California Golden Bears (-5.5)Basketball (other)California Golden BearsResolved$550¢0.0¢-$5
Toronto Argonauts vs. Saskatchewan RoughridersOther sportsSaskatchewan RoughridersResolved$6464¢0.0¢-$64
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami MarlinsMLBArizona DiamondbacksResolved$10251¢0.0¢-$102
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$7437¢0.0¢-$74
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5MLBOverResolved$2253¢0.0¢-$22
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)World CupUruguayResolved$840¢0.0¢-$8
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)World CupEcuadorResolved$8968¢0.0¢-$89
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETCryptoDownResolved$554¢0.0¢-$5
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?PoliticsYesResolved$16084¢0.0¢-$160
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesMLBMilwaukee BrewersResolved$5546¢0.0¢-$55
Edmonton Elks vs. British Columbia LionsOther sportsEdmonton ElksResolved$2151¢0.0¢-$21
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State ValkyriesOther sportsIndiana FeverResolved$4146¢0.0¢-$41
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5MLBUnderResolved$3863¢0.0¢-$38
Kansas City Royals vs. New York MetsMLBKansas City RoyalsResolved$8844¢0.0¢-$88
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-11?Soccer (other)YesResolved$361¢0.0¢-$3
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5MLBOverResolved$10653¢0.0¢-$106
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1064¢0.0¢-$10
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5MLBOverResolved$2346¢0.0¢-$23
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City RoyalsMLBPhiladelphia PhilliesResolved$11055¢0.0¢-$110
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9548¢0.0¢-$95
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$19032¢0.0¢-$190
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur FeryTennisGrigor DimitrovResolved$19677¢0.0¢-$196
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsMLBSt. Louis CardinalsResolved$441¢0.0¢-$4
Canadiens vs. SabresNHLSabresResolved$51051¢0.0¢-$510

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup-$3.3K
Politics+$2.5K
Crypto-$1.3K
NHL-$658
UFC / MMA+$648
NBA-$550
MLB+$499
Formula 1+$422
Premier League+$333
Other sports-$317
La Liga+$187
Culture+$168
Biggest hit
+$4.5K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$457
Will Wes Streeting be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1298m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$8211m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1417m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$317m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$4117m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$717m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$319m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$1419m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$319m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$12830m ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$5616h ago
  • Bought No · Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$507h ago