← Whale Watch

LlamaEnjoyer

Predicting since Sep 20214,998 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $2.7M on Politics markets since Sep 2021.

Right now: $2.2M across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$10K on Will the Patriots hire Mike Vrabel as their next head coach?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$15K50¢80¢+$8.9K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$15K50¢20¢-$8.9K
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$1006.0¢100¢+$1.6K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsNo$350¢98¢+$2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$32K33¢0.0¢-$32K
Will Andy Byron be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.1K2.8¢0.0¢-$2.1K
Hurricanes vs. KingsNHLKingsResolved$161.0¢0.0¢-$16
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$4.3K5.5¢0.0¢-$4.3K
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$25K2.4¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.6¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.8K2.8¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3.8K3.8¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 26 2025?TechYesResolved$3135.9¢0.0¢-$313
Will Trump and Zelenskyy shake hands for less than 2 seconds?PoliticsYesResolved$120¢0.0¢-$1
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3.8K3.8¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3.8K3.8¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US strike Iraq next?PoliticsYesResolved$10K9.1¢0.0¢-$10K
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$4.3K5.5¢0.0¢-$4.3K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?TechYesResolved$3135.9¢0.0¢-$313
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.6¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$4.3K5.5¢0.0¢-$4.3K
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$439¢0.0¢-$4
Will Obi Toppin win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?NBAYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$114¢0.0¢-$1
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-19?Premier LeagueYesResolved$14K50¢0.0¢-$14K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 21 2025?TechYesResolved$3135.9¢0.0¢-$313
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 28 2025?TechYesResolved$3135.9¢0.0¢-$313
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.6¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Shedeur Sanders be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$1.4K2.8¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?MentionsNoResolved$00.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$9703.3¢0.0¢-$970
Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$25K2.4¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.8K2.8¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?EconomyNoResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$72K33¢0.0¢-$72K
Will Elon tweet 405–419 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$25K2.4¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 14 2025?TechYesResolved$3135.9¢0.0¢-$313
Games Total: O/U 2.5eSportsOverResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.6¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3.8K3.8¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.8K2.8¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will Bermuda vs. Jamaica end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$1.2K50¢0.0¢-$1.2K
SSC Napoli vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Soccer (other)UnderResolved$06.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Brandon Miller lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?NBAYesResolved$01.1¢0.0¢-$0
Will Norway vs. Estonia end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$5.0K50¢0.0¢-$5.0K
Will Walker Kessler lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?NBAYesResolved$07.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.7K2.8¢0.0¢-$2.7K
Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$9703.3¢0.0¢-$970
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$9493.3¢0.0¢-$949
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3.8K3.8¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.6¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 29 2025?TechYesResolved$3135.9¢0.0¢-$313
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3.8K3.8¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.8K2.8¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will Split Fiction win Best Game Direction at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sportsYesResolved$6496.2¢0.0¢-$649
Will Absolum win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sportsYesResolved$655.9¢0.0¢-$65
Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3.8K3.8¢0.0¢-$3.8K
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.6¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$9703.3¢0.0¢-$970
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.6¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-04?La LigaNoResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US strike Cuba next?PoliticsYesResolved$10K9.1¢0.0¢-$10K
Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.6¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?Soccer (other)YesResolved$4.8K50¢0.0¢-$4.8K
UFC Fight Night: Oki vs. JonesUFC / MMAOki Resolved$2591¢0.0¢-$25
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 30 2025 or later?TechYesResolved$3135.9¢0.0¢-$313
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Champions LeagueYesResolved$29K50¢0.0¢-$29K
Will Elon tweet 435–449 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$25K2.4¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?CultureNoResolved$150¢0.0¢-$1
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3553.3¢0.0¢-$355
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$30151¢0.0¢-$301
UFC Fight Night: Will Borralho win by KO/TKO/DQ?UFC / MMAYesResolved$27914¢0.0¢-$279
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 25?PoliticsYesResolved$1.4K8.3¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$25K2.4¢0.0¢-$25K
San Jose State vs. Utah StateOther sportsSan Jose StateResolved$81.0¢0.0¢-$8
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$4.3K5.5¢0.0¢-$4.3K
Will Hades 2 win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sportsYesResolved$155.9¢0.0¢-$15
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?Soccer (other)YesResolved$139K37¢0.0¢-$139K
Will the government shutdown end November 19?PoliticsYesResolved$6.2K8.3¢0.0¢-$6.2K
Will the US strike another country first?PoliticsYesResolved$10K9.1¢0.0¢-$10K
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2.9K53¢0.0¢-$2.9K
UFC Fight Night: Will Borralho win by submission?UFC / MMAYesResolved$98314¢0.0¢-$983
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$526K50¢0.0¢-$526K
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?Soccer (other)YesResolved$03.2¢0.0¢-$0
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 21?PoliticsYesResolved$1.4K8.3¢0.0¢-$1.4K
Will Elon tweet 360–374 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$25K2.4¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.6¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?PoliticsYesResolved$8210¢0.0¢-$82
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$25K2.4¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Payton Pritchard win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?NBAYesResolved$03.0¢0.0¢-$0
Will Benin win on 2026-01-05?Other sportsYesResolved$27K50¢0.0¢-$27K
Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$3.7K3.8¢0.0¢-$3.7K
Will Katy Perry be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$2.8K2.8¢0.0¢-$2.8K
Will Silent Hill f win Best Audio Design at the 2025 Game Awards?Other sportsYesResolved$1676.2¢0.0¢-$167
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$25K2.4¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$25K2.4¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?PoliticsYesResolved$3.4K2.6¢0.0¢-$3.4K
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 22–August 29?CultureYesResolved$25K2.4¢0.0¢-$25K
Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?Formula 1YesResolved$9703.3¢0.0¢-$970

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$2.7M
Culture-$1.0M
Soccer (other)-$325K
Formula 1-$88K
Champions League-$85K
Tech-$66K
Other sports-$19K
NFL+$13K
Premier League-$7.6K
Mentions-$6.4K
UFC / MMA-$6.2K
eSports-$2.9K
Biggest hit
+$10K
Will the Patriots hire Mike Vrabel as their next head coach?
Toughest beat
-$7.5K
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?

Recent moves

  • MERGE Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$24K2d ago
  • MERGE Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.0K11d ago
  • SPLIT Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55K12d ago