Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will anyone say "Cybersecurity" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Trump x Elon talk before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will anyone say "Server" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will anyone say "Squid Game" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Pakistan strike on India before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US congress stock trading ban in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Alexandria" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 1–August 8?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $12 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Gintautas Paluckas out as Lithuania prime minister by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will "The Bad Guys 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $16m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 41¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?Tech | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Israel military action against Iran in July?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
India strike on Pakistan before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $115m?Culture | YesResolved | $3 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $100m?Culture | YesResolved | $2 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Powell say "Obvious" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump say "Beautiful coal" or "Clean coal" during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Oligarchy" 5+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Powell say "Step/Stepping Down" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Elon tweet less than 215 times August 8–August 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump say "President Xi" during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will anyone say "Antitrust" during the Q2 2025 Meta earnings call?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 9.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will a dozen eggs be between $4-4.25 in June?Economy | YesResolved | $3 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 1–August 8?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Tariff" during his West Virginia speech on August 8?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Elon tweet 300–314 times August 1–August 8?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
Will Elon Musk say "Trump" during the August 6 AMA?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |