← Whale Watch

the-realist

Predicting since Oct 202557 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$3618¢0.0¢-$36
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsNoResolved$1556.6¢0.0¢-$155
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98,000 on November 10?CryptoYesResolved$94.7¢0.0¢-$9
Will Zohran Mamdani win Brooklyn in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?PoliticsNoResolved$132.1¢0.0¢-$13
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12PM ETCryptoDownResolved$2021¢0.0¢-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1616¢0.0¢-$16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$222.0¢0.0¢-$22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 5?CryptoNoResolved$9045¢0.0¢-$90
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$24.0¢0.0¢-$2
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4PM ETCryptoUpResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$119¢0.0¢-$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be less than 21%?PoliticsYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 28?CryptoNoResolved$348.5¢0.0¢-$34
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$80.8¢0.0¢-$8
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,500 on November 5?CryptoNoResolved$147.1¢0.0¢-$14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$35.0¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1414¢0.0¢-$14
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETCryptoDownResolved$15.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $122,000 on October 28?CryptoYesResolved$30.1¢0.0¢-$3
Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?CryptoDownResolved$771.9¢0.0¢-$77
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 28?CryptoYesResolved$2110¢0.0¢-$21
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 October 20-26?CryptoYesResolved$290.6¢0.0¢-$29
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by October 31?CryptoYesResolved$50.2¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?PoliticsNoResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$101.9¢0.0¢-$10
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2525¢0.0¢-$25
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$44.0¢0.0¢-$4
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 4AM ETCryptoUpResolved$434.5¢0.0¢-$43
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1258¢0.0¢-$12
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on October 28?CryptoYesResolved$470.5¢0.0¢-$47

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto+$115
Politics-$104
Finance-$90
Biggest hit
+$391
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 October 20-26?
Toughest beat
-$90
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out No · No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1003mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$68mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$68mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?$08mo ago
  • Cashed out Down · Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$08mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?$08mo ago
  • Sold Down · Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$158mo ago
  • Sold Down · Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$78mo ago
  • Sold Down · Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$98mo ago
  • Bought Down · Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$138mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98,000 on November 10?$38mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98,000 on November 10?$08mo ago