← Whale Watch
DonAntimatter
Down $30K on Politics markets since Sep 2025.
Right now: $3.3K riding on Claude 5 released by…?.
Biggest hit: +$10K on Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?.
All-time PnL
+$0This year
+$0Last 30 days
+$0Portfolio value
$0Deep stats
Bucko OracleLoading…
Profit over time
What they are betting now
| Market | Side | Stake | Entry | Now | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Tech | YesResolved | $2.1K | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$1.0K |
 Another US bank failure by March 31?Economy | NoResolved | $1.8K | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$508 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Politics | No | $1.5K | 75¢ | 86¢ | +$203 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Tech | YesResolved | $816 | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$249 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $89 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$89 |
 Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $406 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$406 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $3.3K | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.3K |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1.8K | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1.4K | 56¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.4K |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $149 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$149 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $658 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$658 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?Politics | YesResolved | $600 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$600 |
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | NoResolved | $588 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$588 |
Where the money comes from
Realized + open PnL by category
Politics-$30K
Tech+$2.3K
Economy+$1.9K
World Cup-$995
MLB-$907
Culture+$539
Weather+$245
Mentions-$202
Soccer (other)-$53
Crypto-$1
Biggest hit
+$10K
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Toughest beat
-$7.1K
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Recent moves
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$04mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$54mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$344mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$194mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$204mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$134mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$34mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$24mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$34mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$24mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$84mo ago
- Bought Yes · Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?$14mo ago