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FrozenTomato

Predicting since Dec 2025416 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsYes$35381¢82¢+$5
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?PoliticsNo$25796¢97¢+$2
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$20785¢88¢+$5
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$19488¢90¢+$5
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$16596¢95¢-$2
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$16891¢88¢-$6
Yoon out of custody before 2027?PoliticsNo$14990¢89¢-$1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$12892¢92¢-$0
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsNo$12793¢94¢+$0
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10691¢93¢+$2
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$8476¢75¢-$2
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsNo$7199¢99¢+$0
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$7264¢63¢-$1
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$6891¢91¢+$0
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?PoliticsNo$6787¢87¢-$0
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$6460¢56¢-$3
Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$6893¢81¢-$9
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?PoliticsYes$5686¢89¢+$2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsNo$5692¢92¢-$0
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsNo$5395¢97¢+$1
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?PoliticsYes$5194¢97¢+$1
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$5187¢87¢-$0
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4994¢95¢+$0
Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?PoliticsYes$4697¢97¢-$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?PoliticsNo$4488¢88¢+$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?PoliticsNo$4297¢97¢+$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$3769¢69¢+$0
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$2797¢96¢-$0
Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsNo$2799¢96¢-$1
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$2688¢87¢-$1
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$2495¢94¢-$0
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$2493¢90¢-$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$2344¢38¢-$4
Modi out by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1993¢94¢+$0
Haiti elections delayed again?PoliticsYes$1999¢99¢+$0
Will Adilet win the most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$1896¢99¢+$0
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$1991¢89¢-$0
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?PoliticsNo$1794¢94¢-$0
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1795¢95¢-$0
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?PoliticsYes$1697¢99¢+$0
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?PoliticsYes$1697¢95¢-$0
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$1694¢89¢-$1
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?PoliticsYes$1597¢91¢-$1
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$1414¢13¢-$2
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?PoliticsYes$1462¢52¢-$2
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$1292¢92¢+$0
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?PoliticsNo$1189¢92¢+$0
Will Anwar Ibrahim cease to be Prime Minister of Malaysia by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1197¢98¢+$0
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?PoliticsNo$1174¢71¢-$0
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$1081¢88¢+$1
Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?PoliticsYes$872¢71¢-$0
Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?PoliticsYes$797¢97¢+$0
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?PoliticsNo$694¢90¢-$0
Peru Presidential Election Invalidated?PoliticsNo$499¢100¢+$0
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?PoliticsNo$481¢76¢-$0
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$390¢90¢+$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$324¢24¢-$0
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?PoliticsNo$289¢93¢+$0
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?PoliticsNo$297¢96¢-$0
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?PoliticsNo$295¢82¢-$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$3537¢0.0¢-$35
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Joao Lucas Da SilvaTennisJoao Lucas Da SilvaResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$437
Crypto-$108
eSports-$100
Tennis+$84
Economy+$66
Finance+$5
World Cup-$3
Tech+$1
Weather-$1
Biggest hit
+$135
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Toughest beat
-$326
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$012m ago
  • Sold No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$015m ago
  • Sold No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1523m ago
  • Sold No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$1525m ago
  • Sold No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$01h ago
  • Sold No · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$01h ago
  • Bought No · Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$242h ago
  • Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$142h ago
  • Sold No · Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$202h ago
  • Sold No · Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$03h ago
  • Sold No · Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$03h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will UPND win the most seats in the 2026 Zambia National Assembly Election?$193h ago