← Whale Watch

Tanjiro.Kamado

Predicting since Feb 20261,189 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $5.2K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Biggest hit: +$1.7K on Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$19920¢18¢-$18
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsYes$367.3¢7.4¢+$1
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$702.0¢1.0¢-$35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$320.6¢0.7¢+$1
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsYes$693.4¢1.1¢-$46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsYes$450.9¢0.4¢-$22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$220.4¢0.4¢-$4
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsYes$218.0¢6.0¢-$5
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsNo$398.4¢3.4¢-$24
Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?MLBYes$51.7¢4.0¢+$7
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? PoliticsYes$230.8¢0.4¢-$13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$100.2¢0.1¢-$3
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?MentionsYes$30.1¢0.1¢-$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$18.0¢8.0¢+$0

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics-$5.2K
Tech-$334
Mentions-$276
NBA+$94
World Cup-$83
Finance+$41
MLB+$6
Other sports+$5
Weather-$3
Economy-$0
Biggest hit
+$1.7K
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Toughest beat
-$305
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$959h ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$017h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$017h ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$017h ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel closes its airspace by July 24?$017h ago
  • Bought Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) AND Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins AND Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)$419h ago
  • Sold No · Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$319h ago
  • Bought Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5) AND Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox AND Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) AND Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins AND Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) AND Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)$719h ago
  • Bought Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) AND Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins AND Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) AND Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) AND Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5$1019h ago
  • Sold Yes · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$1619h ago
  • Bought No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?$3920h ago
  • Sold No · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$2320h ago