← Whale Watch

xhinra37

Predicting since Sep 2025126 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $60K on NFL markets since Sep 2025.

Right now: $103K riding on What day will the Government Shutdown end?.

Biggest hit: +$151K on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Up Only podcast released by November 30?CryptoNoResolved$813¢100¢+$51
Up Only podcast released by December 31?CryptoNoResolved$00.3¢100¢+$43
Up Only podcast released by October 31?CryptoYesResolved$20315¢0.0¢-$203
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsYesResolved$14K5.0¢0.0¢-$14K
Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?PoliticsYesResolved$2.2K15¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?PoliticsNoResolved$9.8K4.3¢0.0¢-$9.8K
Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.3K37¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Will Antonio Saravia win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?PoliticsNoResolved$16K29¢0.0¢-$16K
Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoNoResolved$3.9K3.7¢0.0¢-$3.9K
Will Branko Marinković win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$2.3K4.2¢0.0¢-$2.3K
Oliveira vs. GamrotUFC / MMAGamrotResolved$12K51¢0.0¢-$12K
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? CryptoYesResolved$1.8K2.9¢0.0¢-$1.8K
Will Eva Copa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$53K39¢0.0¢-$53K
Will Denk win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?PoliticsNoResolved$49818¢0.0¢-$498
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1OtherYesResolved$6175.4¢0.0¢-$617
Will Jaime Dunn win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?PoliticsYesResolved$38011¢0.0¢-$380
Will Ruth Nina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will Volt Netherlands win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsNoResolved$1.1K24¢0.0¢-$1.1K
Will anyone say "Poly" or "Poly-" 5+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?MentionsYesResolved$21816¢0.0¢-$218
Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?Other sportsNoResolved$25K83¢0.0¢-$25K
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved$6261.1¢0.0¢-$626
Will Trump pardon Diddy by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1682.4¢0.0¢-$168
Will Carlos Mesa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will George W. Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?PoliticsNoResolved$673.0¢0.0¢-$67
Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? CryptoYesResolved$743¢0.0¢-$7
Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?PoliticsNoResolved$2.4K48¢0.0¢-$2.4K
Will Evo Morales win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?PoliticsNoResolved$10K75¢0.0¢-$10K
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will the Party for the Animals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will Manfred Reyes Villa win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will Gualberto Cusi Mamani win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoYesResolved$10K2.0¢0.0¢-$10K
Will Chi Hyun Chung win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will María Galindo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will PG&E (PCG) beat quarterly earnings?EconomyNoResolved$44031¢0.0¢-$440
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?PoliticsYesResolved$2725.0¢0.0¢-$272
Rockets vs. ThunderNBARocketsResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$2813¢0.0¢-$28
Will the government shutdown end November 12?PoliticsYesResolved$103K44¢0.0¢-$103K
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?PoliticsNoResolved$94K69¢0.0¢-$94K
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoYesResolved$60K11¢0.0¢-$60K
Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?CryptoYesResolved$7480.9¢0.0¢-$748
Will Jhonny Fernández win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$12K30¢0.0¢-$12K
Will Eric Adams drop out?PoliticsNoResolved$3.2K24¢0.0¢-$3.2K
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?PoliticsYesResolved$4069.3¢0.0¢-$406
Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?PoliticsNoResolved$2002.0¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5334.3¢0.0¢-$533
Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?PoliticsYesResolved$3552.2¢0.0¢-$355
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will Eduardo del Castillo win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 10 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$369.0¢0.0¢-$36
Will Rubén Costas win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?PoliticsYesResolved-$3-0.2¢0.0¢+$3
Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?PoliticsYesResolved-$154-1.0¢0.0¢+$154
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?TechYesResolved$9.7K5.1¢0.0¢-$9.7K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

NFL+$60K
Crypto-$39K
Other sports-$18K
UFC / MMA-$12K
Tech+$11K
NBA+$11K
Mentions+$8.2K
Politics-$5.8K
Culture+$1.7K
NHL+$920
Other-$617
Economy-$434
Biggest hit
+$151K
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Toughest beat
-$82K
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$318mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$68mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$28mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$38mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$38mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$2768mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?$38mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?$58mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$108mo ago
  • Sold No · Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$678mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?$608mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$2518mo ago