← Whale Watch

OkieDokiePeon

Predicting since Oct 20251,650 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $3.6K on Politics markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $13K across 3 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$9.6K on Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$9.0K87¢90¢+$221
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$6.0K95¢96¢+$54
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$2.2K79¢98¢+$519
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2.4K59¢63¢+$166
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$2.4K93¢97¢+$93
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$1.6K76¢76¢+$10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?PoliticsNo$1.2K90¢92¢+$23
Iran leadership change by July 31?PoliticsNo$82795¢99¢+$36
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$47094¢94¢+$1
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$40581¢94¢+$63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$43254¢57¢+$28
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYes$16920¢38¢+$147
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?PoliticsNo$30786¢88¢+$5
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$30793¢95¢+$6
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$18318¢30¢+$120
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?PoliticsYes$18919¢24¢+$46
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$20396¢100¢+$7
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?PoliticsNo$17085¢92¢+$13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsYes$15015¢16¢+$5
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$13823¢20¢-$21
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsYes$14332¢26¢-$26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$8643¢46¢+$5
Will Trump and Putin not meet?PoliticsNo$9233¢31¢-$6
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?PoliticsNo$6878¢79¢+$1
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsYes$713.4¢3.2¢-$4
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$753.5¢2.1¢-$30
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$4085¢92¢+$3
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$1349¢93¢+$12
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$2312¢10¢-$2
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$2010¢8.5¢-$3
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$93.0¢5.5¢+$8
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsNo$917¢22¢+$3
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$787¢88¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsYes$246.7¢1.7¢-$18
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$92.9¢1.8¢-$3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsYes$50.8¢0.7¢-$1
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsYes$31.1¢0.5¢-$2
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1215¢0.0¢-$12
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander ZverevTennisFlavio CobolliResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?PoliticsNoResolved$17.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?World CupYesResolved$7456¢0.0¢-$74
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?CultureNoResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?Premier LeagueYesResolved$1427¢0.0¢-$14
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?TechNoResolved$33.0¢0.0¢-$3
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$3010.0¢0.0¢-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$404.0¢0.0¢-$40
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$171.9¢0.0¢-$17
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?PoliticsNoResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$103.4¢0.0¢-$10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14PoliticsNoResolved$6767¢0.0¢-$67
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?PoliticsNoResolved$4927¢0.0¢-$49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMAConor McGregorResolved$10028¢0.0¢-$100
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?TechYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?CultureYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$243.1¢0.0¢-$24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$9111¢0.0¢-$91
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$22.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$80.8¢0.0¢-$8
Thunder vs. SpursNBAThunderResolved$20541¢0.0¢-$205
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)UFC / MMACody GarbrandtResolved$10023¢0.0¢-$100
Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$172.7¢0.0¢-$17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil MedvedevTennisDaniil MedvedevResolved$109.0¢0.0¢-$10
76ers vs. KnicksNBA76ersResolved$6030¢0.0¢-$60
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$125.6¢0.0¢-$12
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$193.7¢0.0¢-$19
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMATallison TeixeiraResolved$3417¢0.0¢-$34
Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 39m?CultureNoResolved$13226¢0.0¢-$132
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?PoliticsYesResolved$695.1¢0.0¢-$69
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$205.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$00.3¢0.0¢-$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?PoliticsYesResolved$334.1¢0.0¢-$33
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?PoliticsYesResolved$5521¢0.0¢-$55
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 7?PoliticsYesResolved$011¢0.0¢-$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?PoliticsNoResolved$26539¢0.0¢-$265
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?PoliticsYesResolved$13620¢0.0¢-$136
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?La LigaYesResolved$4123¢0.0¢-$41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?PoliticsYesResolved$134.4¢0.0¢-$13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$474.7¢0.0¢-$47
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAPriscila CachoeiraResolved$13545¢0.0¢-$135
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)UFC / MMABelal MuhammadResolved$15050¢0.0¢-$150
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Cavaliers vs. KnicksNBACavaliersResolved$10334¢0.0¢-$103
Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?CultureYesResolved$51.6¢0.0¢-$5
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?PoliticsYesResolved$52.8¢0.0¢-$5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?PoliticsYesResolved$181.4¢0.0¢-$18
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Spurs vs. ThunderNBASpursResolved$30041¢0.0¢-$300
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?PoliticsNoResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$287.3¢0.0¢-$28
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$1007.1¢0.0¢-$100
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Prelims)UFC / MMAMatt SchnellResolved$2121¢0.0¢-$21
Israel closes its airspace by June 11?PoliticsYesResolved$44.9¢0.0¢-$4

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$3.6K
Tech+$669
Tennis-$561
UFC / MMA-$555
Mentions+$287
Boxing-$224
Culture+$152
World Cup-$135
eSports-$115
Crypto+$105
Soccer (other)+$49
La Liga-$41
Biggest hit
+$9.6K
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
Toughest beat
-$5.6K
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$418m ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$5725m ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$030m ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$032m ago
  • Bought No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$839m ago
  • Sold No · Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$15847m ago
  • Sold Yes · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$01h ago
  • Bought No · Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?$72h ago
  • Bought Yes · Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$32h ago
  • Bought No · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$1702h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?$542h ago
  • Sold Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$512h ago