← Whale Watch

Frontiersman

Predicting since Jan 2026798 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $2.5K on World Cup markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $600 across 2 World Cup markets.

Biggest hit: +$2.5K on Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$30072¢83¢+$45
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$208.6¢17¢+$19
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$222.1¢1.1¢-$11
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5014¢2.6¢-$40
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$5010¢1.3¢-$44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$50.4¢0.4¢+$1
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee BrewersMLBMilwaukee BrewersResolved$7057¢0.0¢-$70
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime?World CupYesResolved$15046¢0.0¢-$150
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$2011¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5032¢0.0¢-$50
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)UFC / MMACory SandhagenResolved$12058¢0.0¢-$120
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersMLBDetroit TigersResolved$12060¢0.0¢-$120
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$23039¢0.0¢-$230
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?World CupYesResolved$40074¢0.0¢-$400
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6012¢0.0¢-$60
Athletics vs. Arizona DiamondbacksMLBArizona DiamondbacksResolved$10060¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$103.7¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$10045¢0.0¢-$100
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsMLBSt. Louis CardinalsResolved$7059¢0.0¢-$70
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$5038¢0.0¢-$50
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas RangersMLBSeattle MarinersResolved$6052¢0.0¢-$60
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$12518¢0.0¢-$125
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$20067¢0.0¢-$200
France vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$5033¢0.0¢-$50
Exact Score: Any Other Score?World CupYesResolved$205.0¢0.0¢-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceWorld CupFranceResolved$15060¢0.0¢-$150
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 3.5 CornersWorld CupOverResolved$30069¢0.0¢-$300
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee BrewersMLBMilwaukee BrewersResolved$10071¢0.0¢-$100
Athletics vs. Minnesota TwinsMLBMinnesota TwinsResolved$7057¢0.0¢-$70
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$10040¢0.0¢-$100
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?World CupYesResolved$10039¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$13040¢0.0¢-$130
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3014¢0.0¢-$30
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$5032¢0.0¢-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$25058¢0.0¢-$250
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$6018¢0.0¢-$60
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2014¢0.0¢-$20
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$10034¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$6016¢0.0¢-$60
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$709.0¢0.0¢-$70
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?World CupYesResolved$10027¢0.0¢-$100
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$30071¢0.0¢-$300
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$10049¢0.0¢-$100
Omar Marmoush: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$209.4¢0.0¢-$20
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersWorld CupOverResolved$13061¢0.0¢-$130
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$104.8¢0.0¢-$10
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$10043¢0.0¢-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World CupYesResolved$10041¢0.0¢-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?World CupYesResolved$207.0¢0.0¢-$20
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?World CupYesResolved$2013¢0.0¢-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-18?World CupYesResolved$15050¢0.0¢-$150
Ismael Saibari: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$10035¢0.0¢-$100
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas RangersMLBTexas RangersResolved$7050¢0.0¢-$70
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$15052¢0.0¢-$150
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$206.0¢0.0¢-$20
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$20069¢0.0¢-$200
Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$8030¢0.0¢-$80
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$7524¢0.0¢-$75
Miami Marlins vs. Houston AstrosMLBMiami MarlinsResolved$10047¢0.0¢-$100
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5World CupOverResolved$5026¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$409.3¢0.0¢-$40
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)MLBAtlanta BravesResolved$10055¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$3018¢0.0¢-$30
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal?World CupYesResolved$2011¢0.0¢-$20
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5World CupUnderResolved$10053¢0.0¢-$100
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceWorld CupUnited StatesResolved$20053¢0.0¢-$200
Exact Score: Any Other Score?World CupYesResolved$105.0¢0.0¢-$10
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesMLBNew York YankeesResolved$7062¢0.0¢-$70
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceWorld CupColombiaResolved$25060¢0.0¢-$250
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?World CupYesResolved$4014¢0.0¢-$40
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?World CupYesResolved$50086¢0.0¢-$500
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?World CupYesResolved$209.0¢0.0¢-$20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesMLBPhiladelphia PhilliesResolved$7055¢0.0¢-$70
Exact Score: Any Other Score?World CupYesResolved$3011¢0.0¢-$30
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsWorld CupYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$10045¢0.0¢-$100
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansMLBCleveland GuardiansResolved$7054¢0.0¢-$70
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$5025¢0.0¢-$50
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$10042¢0.0¢-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)World CupFranceResolved$20060¢0.0¢-$200
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5015¢0.0¢-$50
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?World CupYesResolved$2012¢0.0¢-$20
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupYesResolved$10060¢0.0¢-$100
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado RockiesMLBWashington NationalsResolved$7051¢0.0¢-$70
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$6016¢0.0¢-$60
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 DR Congo?World CupYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesMLBPittsburgh PiratesResolved$6051¢0.0¢-$60
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle MarinersMLBSeattle MarinersResolved$7059¢0.0¢-$70
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?World CupYesResolved$10045¢0.0¢-$100
O/U 2.5 RoundsUFC / MMAOverResolved$10053¢0.0¢-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?World CupYesResolved$1003.3¢0.0¢-$100
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWorld CupBrazilResolved$30071¢0.0¢-$300
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)World CupArgentinaResolved$30065¢0.0¢-$300
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)World CupColombiaResolved$10043¢0.0¢-$100
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas RangersMLBTexas RangersResolved$10062¢0.0¢-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?World CupYesResolved$158.0¢0.0¢-$15
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$10038¢0.0¢-$100
Mikel Merino: 1+ goalsWorld CupYesResolved$3014¢0.0¢-$30
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceWorld CupArgentinaResolved$15041¢0.0¢-$150

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$2.5K
Crypto-$2.0K
Politics+$1.7K
MLB-$686
UFC / MMA+$208
Finance-$140
Tech-$34
Other+$21
Premier League-$13
Biggest hit
+$2.5K
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$3.7K
Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?

Recent moves

  • Cashed out Tampa Bay Rays · Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$22613h ago
  • Cashed out Washington Nationals · Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals$20715h ago
  • Cashed out San Francisco Giants · Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants$21815h ago
  • Cashed out Sam Patterson · UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Prelims)$12316h ago
  • Cashed out Valter Walker · UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Valter Walker (Heavyweight, Prelims)$16116h ago
  • Cashed out Magomed Tuchalov · UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)$22720h ago
  • Cashed out Axel Sola · UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)$15620h ago
  • Cashed out Abubakar Vagaev · UFC Fight Night: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Saygid Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Main Card)$14321h ago
  • Bought Tampa Bay Rays · Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1231d ago
  • Bought San Francisco Giants · Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants$1231d ago
  • Bought Washington Nationals · Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals$1231d ago
  • Bought Detroit Tigers · Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers$1221d ago