 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $52 | 6.5¢ | 0.2¢ | -$50 |
 Will Trump remove carried interest loophole before July?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 US recession in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $12 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Will Buffett say "Federal Reserve" during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $5 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 17?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy before July?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump say "Eli Lilly" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Russia" during the May meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Congress pass a bill limiting Trump's tariffs before July? Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $15 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Powell say "Summer" during June Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the next Pope be from Africa?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Powell say "Downbeat" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Economy | NoResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza before July?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Tylenol sues Trump by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin before July?Crypto | YesResolved | $6 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 89¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?Finance | YesResolved | $6 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Israel military action on Yemen before June?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Jay-Z be named in Epstein files?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Israel military action against Iran before June?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 18?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 9.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Ukraine" during the May meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Kanye crash the Met Gala?Culture | YesResolved | $4 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?Tech | YesResolved | $11 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will Trump say "UFC" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Zelenskyy impeached before July?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 68¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?Crypto | YesResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Overreact" during the May meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 37¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Fed rate hike in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $15 | 7.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "recession" during the May meeting?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy by May 31?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 4.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $10 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 1.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayPolitics | NoResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett to replace Lisa Cook?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0?Economy | YesResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 19?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Trump out as President in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump enact India travel ban in first 100 days?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 6.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $2 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Politics | NoResolved | $16 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$16 |
 Iranian coup attempt before July?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Powell say "Renovation" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before July?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $3 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 75% and 100% on April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump say "Alien" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $5 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $11 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 India military action against Pakistan before June?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 53¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Will Buffett say "Recession" 3+ times during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US-China trade deal before June?Politics | NoResolved | $10 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Buffett say "Tariff" 5+ times during May 3 Shareholders Meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $4 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will Powell say "Volatile" during June Press Conference?Mentions | NoResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 65¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting?Mentions | YesResolved | $9 | 88¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |