← Whale Watch

eduGuess

Predicting since Oct 2024347 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $1.0K on Politics markets since Oct 2024.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$646.7¢16¢+$87
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$204.2¢5.1¢+$5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$103.9¢5.1¢+$3
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$100.5¢0.4¢-$3
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$521¢27¢+$1
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$81.3¢0.8¢-$3
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$110.7¢0.3¢-$7
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$20.2¢0.3¢+$1
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?PoliticsYes$40.4¢0.1¢-$3
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?PoliticsYes$21.3¢0.9¢-$1
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?PoliticsYesResolved$58.9¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$13.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?PoliticsYesResolved$517¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon Musk post 720-759 tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$2614¢0.0¢-$26
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$11.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$21.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?CultureYesResolved$19.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 600-639 tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.6¢0.0¢-$1
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$40.9¢0.0¢-$4
Bitcoin all time high before October?CryptoNoResolved$4023¢0.0¢-$40
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?CultureYesResolved$14.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$40.4¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$105.6¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$12.9¢0.0¢-$1
Obama divorce in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYesResolved$638¢0.0¢-$6
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?PoliticsYesResolved$208.8¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% before August?PoliticsYesResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?PoliticsYesResolved$51.3¢0.0¢-$5
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$21.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$19.6¢0.0¢-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump's approval rating hit 43% before August?PoliticsYesResolved$425¢0.0¢-$4
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?WeatherNoResolved$2743¢0.0¢-$27
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$19.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$211¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4?CultureYesResolved$20.8¢0.0¢-$2
Ukraine election called in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$124¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$60.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on July 31?TechYesResolved$110.6¢0.0¢-$11
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people?PoliticsYesResolved$60.6¢0.0¢-$6
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?WeatherYesResolved$510.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$43.2¢0.0¢-$4
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?TechYesResolved$1010¢0.0¢-$10
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$1019¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$30.9¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$216¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon tweet 270 or more times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$71.0¢0.0¢-$7
Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31?TechYesResolved$20.3¢0.0¢-$2
Justin Bieber rehab in 2025?CultureYesResolved$122¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$64.9¢0.0¢-$6
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$22.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.8¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$15.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$1240¢0.0¢-$12
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$22.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Google be the second most valuable company on October 31?EconomyYesResolved$30.3¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$12.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.4¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.9¢0.0¢-$1
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?PoliticsNoResolved$20.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% before August?PoliticsYesResolved$22.2¢0.0¢-$2
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?PoliticsYesResolved$230¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$15.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$50.1¢0.0¢-$5
Assad leaves Russia before 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2011¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$60.7¢0.0¢-$6
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.5¢0.0¢-$1
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYesResolved$30.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?PoliticsYesResolved$91.7¢0.0¢-$9
Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?TechYesResolved$16.0¢0.0¢-$1
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$26.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 25–August 1?PoliticsYesResolved$10.2¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$21.7¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$38.6¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$20.4¢0.0¢-$2
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times July 4–11?PoliticsYesResolved$91.2¢0.0¢-$9
Will Israel invade Iran before July?PoliticsYesResolved$22.3¢0.0¢-$2
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$31.4¢0.0¢-$3
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$11.5¢0.0¢-$1
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$40.9¢0.0¢-$4
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$50.8¢0.0¢-$5
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?TechYesResolved$35.1¢0.0¢-$3

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$1.0K
Tech-$74
Crypto-$50
Other+$45
Economy-$36
Mentions-$32
Weather-$32
Culture-$26
NBA+$12
Soccer (other)-$10
Other sports-$6
Biggest hit
+$52
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 20–27?
Toughest beat
-$110
Trump wins every swing state?