← Whale Watch

benrafa

Predicting since Nov 202535 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?Crypto$80kResolved$5037¢100¢+$85
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$2520¢100¢+$98
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?PoliticsYes$10020¢13¢-$37
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$5022¢20¢-$4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$502.5¢1.8¢-$15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$10018¢5.5¢-$69
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?FinanceYes$10016¢3.5¢-$77
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?PoliticsYes$2517¢13¢-$6
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?PoliticsYesResolved$1054¢100¢+$8
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?PoliticsYes$258.6¢2.5¢-$18
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$10017¢0.9¢-$94
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?EconomyYes$5027¢2.6¢-$45
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1005.1¢0.0¢-$100
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$2005.6¢0.0¢-$200
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$2515¢0.0¢-$25
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1002.7¢0.0¢-$100
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?PoliticsYesResolved$5021¢0.0¢-$50
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$5025¢0.0¢-$50
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?TechYesResolved$501.6¢0.0¢-$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1033¢0.0¢-$10
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$10037¢0.0¢-$100
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$509.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$1002.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?PoliticsYesResolved$10011¢0.0¢-$100
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?TechYesResolved$506.6¢0.0¢-$50
US forces enter Iran by March 14?PoliticsYesResolved$5014¢0.0¢-$50
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10012¢0.0¢-$100
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10022¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$245
Economy-$139
Tech-$100
Crypto+$79
Finance-$77
Biggest hit
+$486
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Toughest beat
-$9
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?