← Whale Watch

mildwindow27

Predicting since Apr 202634,149 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.3K on Weather markets since Apr 2026.

Right now: $2.9K across 24 NBA markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?PoliticsYes$03.3¢91¢+$6
Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?NBAYes$2802.8¢0.1¢-$275
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?NBAYes$2682.8¢0.1¢-$263
Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?NBAYes$2572.8¢0.1¢-$252
Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?NBAYes$2502.8¢0.1¢-$246
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$02.8¢100¢+$4
Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?NBAYes$2452.8¢0.1¢-$240
Will Matt DeLuca win the 2026 PLL Goalie of the Year?Other sportsYes$12.9¢15¢+$4
Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?NBAYes$2362.8¢0.1¢-$232
Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?NBAYes$2272.8¢0.1¢-$223
Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?NBAYes$2222.8¢0.1¢-$218
Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?NBAYes$2222.8¢0.1¢-$218
Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be at least 1.5%?EconomyYes$114¢41¢+$2
Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?NBAYes$2012.8¢0.1¢-$198
Will Jalen Duren play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?NBAYes$23.0¢4.7¢+$1
Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?NBAYes$1942.8¢0.1¢-$190
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$10.8¢3.5¢+$3
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?Premier LeagueYes$02.9¢77¢+$3
Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?NBAYes$1682.8¢0.1¢-$165
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?NBAYes$017¢98¢+$2
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Formula 1Yes$08.3¢86¢+$2
Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?TechYes$13.7¢8.9¢+$2
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?PoliticsYes$05.0¢92¢+$2
Will Aly Richards win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?PoliticsYes$05.5¢73¢+$2
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$114¢63¢+$2
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$03.8¢97¢+$2
Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?TechYes$03.2¢31¢+$2
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1753.8¢0.1¢-$172
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$09.1¢74¢+$2
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1603.8¢0.1¢-$158
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?TechYes$03.1¢96¢+$2
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$03.4¢99¢+$2
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?EconomyYes$114¢43¢+$1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?PoliticsYes$03.1¢63¢+$2
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMAYes$05.3¢56¢+$2
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 13%-16%?FinanceYes$120¢49¢+$1
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?EconomyYes$114¢37¢+$1
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsYes$120¢49¢+$1
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?PoliticsYes$02.9¢56¢+$2
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 26?WeatherYes$09.1¢35¢+$1
Meta (META) Q2 ad impression growth across Family of Apps 16%-19%?FinanceYes$120¢45¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 26?WeatherYes$09.1¢37¢+$1
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$020¢63¢+$1
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?PoliticsYes$04.5¢41¢+$1
Will Meituan be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?TechYes$23.1¢2.5¢-$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$114¢34¢+$1
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1103.8¢0.1¢-$109
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1103.8¢0.1¢-$109
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1093.8¢0.1¢-$108
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$01.9¢77¢+$1
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1053.8¢0.1¢-$104
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 26?WeatherYes$09.1¢32¢+$1
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?TechYes$017¢72¢+$1
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1023.8¢0.1¢-$101
Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?NBAYes$732.8¢0.1¢-$72
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?EconomyYes$117¢32¢+$1
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$05.3¢27¢+$1
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?EconomyYes$117¢32¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 26?WeatherYes$09.1¢97¢+$1
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$913.8¢0.1¢-$90
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?PoliticsYes$05.3¢25¢+$1
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$03.8¢98¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 27?WeatherYes$09.1¢30¢+$1
Will Jalen Duren play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?NBAYes$23.0¢1.6¢-$1
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?EconomyYes$013¢38¢+$1
Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?PoliticsYes$914.0¢0.1¢-$90
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?PoliticsYes$20.8¢0.5¢-$1
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly one nominating election in the 2026 cycle?PoliticsYes$117¢12¢-$0
Will StepFun be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?TechYes$13.1¢2.9¢-$0
Did a propellant leak cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?WeatherYes$014¢47¢+$1
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?EconomyYes$03.4¢76¢+$1
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?EconomyYes$013¢34¢+$1
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?PoliticsYes$51.7¢0.4¢-$4
Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?PoliticsYes$07.7¢94¢+$1
Did a ground support equipment failure cause the Blue Origin New Glenn explosion?WeatherYes$014¢43¢+$1
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$020¢98¢+$1
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 20?WeatherYesResolved$159.1¢0.1¢-$15

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Weather-$4.3K
NBA-$3.0K
Tech-$1.4K
Politics-$1.2K
Economy-$492
Other sports-$291
Premier League-$53
Soccer (other)-$27
UFC / MMA-$20
Basketball (other)-$20
Other-$17
MLB-$15
Biggest hit
+$885
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?
Toughest beat
-$677
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on April 8?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 27?$922s ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?$858s ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 26?$162m ago
  • Bought No · Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$63m ago
  • CONVERSION July Inflation US - Annual$1103m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 26?$03m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 26?$83m ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$04m ago
  • Bought No · Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?$304m ago
  • Bought No · Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$324m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?$85m ago
  • Bought No · Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 26?$15m ago