← Whale Watch

MrMelonHead

Predicting since Jun 20251,929 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $3.3K across 3 Politics markets.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$1.4K58¢74¢+$399
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$93460¢81¢+$311
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$91678¢93¢+$165
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$64074¢93¢+$165
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$51878¢94¢+$105
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$35877¢89¢+$56
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?PoliticsNo$36276¢84¢+$36
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$37164¢68¢+$18
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$29659¢69¢+$51
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?PoliticsYes$33394¢96¢+$8
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$24044¢62¢+$95
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$29375¢81¢+$21
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$30094¢97¢+$11
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$24073¢86¢+$44
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$22858¢66¢+$29
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$35056¢40¢-$105
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$20093¢98¢+$10
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?PoliticsNo$16370¢86¢+$35
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsYes$10026¢43¢+$68
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?PoliticsNo$15077¢86¢+$17
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$20672¢53¢-$56
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2069.8¢6.9¢-$63
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?PoliticsNo$10070¢97¢+$39
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$10045¢63¢+$39
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?PoliticsNo$13382¢84¢+$3
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$10058¢77¢+$33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?FinanceYes$10096¢97¢+$1
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?PoliticsYes$10077¢78¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$7052¢74¢+$30
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$8575¢88¢+$15
Trump out as President before 2027?PoliticsYes$1308.9¢6.5¢-$36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$7472¢88¢+$16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$7059¢69¢+$12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?PoliticsYes$6752¢49¢-$4
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$10077¢48¢-$38
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 31?PoliticsNo$7795¢69¢-$21
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 30?PoliticsNo$7791¢64¢-$23
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?PoliticsYes$4088¢96¢+$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?PoliticsYes$3092¢98¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?PoliticsYes$3095¢99¢+$1
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$228.2¢0.8¢-$20
UFC Fight Night: Ramazan Temirov vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)UFC / MMASteve ErcegResolved$33350¢0.0¢-$333
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETCryptoDownResolved$1433¢0.0¢-$14

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$581
UFC / MMA-$334
NFL+$334
Culture-$127
Crypto-$90
Weather-$86
Tech+$76
Boxing+$56
Olympics-$47
Economy+$24
Finance-$22
NBA+$16
Biggest hit
+$383
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Toughest beat
-$534
Will JD Vance clap between 80–89 times during the State of the Union?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$5337m ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$532h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$6717h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$10017h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$10017h ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by July 27?$30017h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$10017h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$10017h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$10017h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in July?$10017h ago
  • Cashed out Magomed Ankalaev · UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$93318h ago
  • Sold No · Fight to Go the Distance?$3520h ago