← Whale Watch

Naropoly

Predicting since Jul 2024892 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $32K on Politics markets since Jul 2024.

Right now: $25K riding on Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?.

Biggest hit: +$6.2K on Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
Loading…

Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$25K98¢99¢+$316
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$20K98¢97¢-$226
Ebola pandemic in 2026?WeatherNo$4.6K92¢96¢+$220
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$498100¢100¢+$1
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?PoliticsNo$36393¢94¢+$2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?PoliticsNo$27291¢97¢+$20
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$18090¢96¢+$12
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$13573¢72¢-$3
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$12012¢9.5¢-$25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?PoliticsNo$10077¢57¢-$27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?PoliticsNo$2243¢45¢+$1
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?PoliticsYes$220¢25¢+$0
Will Jorden Van Foreest win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?Other sportsYesResolved$51.5¢0.0¢-$5
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$449.8¢0.0¢-$44
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?Other sportsYesResolved$3130¢0.0¢-$31
World Cup: Folarin Balogun to Play vs. Belgium?World CupNoResolved$245.8¢0.0¢-$24
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceWorld CupGermanyResolved$15369¢0.0¢-$153
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5World CupUnderResolved$329.0¢0.0¢-$32
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?Other sportsYesResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Will Vincent Keymer win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?Other sportsNoResolved$9944¢0.0¢-$99
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$306.0¢0.0¢-$30
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?PoliticsYesResolved$11323¢0.0¢-$113
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWorld CupBrazilResolved$11451¢0.0¢-$114
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?World CupYesResolved$6070¢0.0¢-$60
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$2031¢0.0¢-$20
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceWorld CupAustraliaResolved$4343¢0.0¢-$43
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreWorld CupNoResolved$8239¢0.0¢-$82
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 Super Chess Classic Romania?Other sportsYesResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? PoliticsYesResolved$6383¢0.0¢-$63

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$32K
Crypto+$5.3K
World Cup-$5.3K
Tech+$3.5K
Other sports-$3.1K
eSports-$2.9K
Culture-$979
Champions League-$428
Other-$342
Olympics+$311
Premier League+$171
Mentions+$171
Biggest hit
+$6.2K
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Toughest beat
-$7.1K
Trump wins 312-226 - swing state sweep

Recent moves

  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$1204h ago
  • Bought No · NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$154h ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$966h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?$22013h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?$4.7K13h ago
  • Bought No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$10019h ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$4.9K21h ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$3.9K21h ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$31621h ago
  • Sold Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2321h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Dharmendra Pradhan be out as Minister of Education of India by July 31?$27121h ago
  • Bought Yes · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2222h ago