ExcaIibur

Predicting since Jul 202694 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $6.8K on Politics markets since Jul 2026.

Right now: $5.3K across 3 Politics markets.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$1.2K	86¢	61¢	-$363
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$1.4K	91¢	37¢	-$807
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Politics	Yes	$2.7K	83¢	14¢	-$2.2K
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Other	YesResolved	$128	64¢	100¢	+$72
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Politics	Yes	$91	22¢	23¢	+$4
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics	No	$592	70¢	6.8¢	-$535
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Politics	Yes	$95	38¢	20¢	-$46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics	Yes	$49	21¢	5.5¢	-$36
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?Politics	NoResolved	$154	16¢	0.0¢	-$154
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$1	2.5¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?Culture	NoResolved	$179	58¢	0.0¢	-$179
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?Culture	YesResolved	$30	10¢	0.0¢	-$30
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics	YesResolved	$10	2.1¢	0.0¢	-$10
Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$85	16¢	0.0¢	-$85
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 11, 2026?Politics	YesResolved	$29	7.2¢	0.0¢	-$29

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$6.8K

World Cup+$1.0K

Culture+$609

Crypto+$407

Mentions+$150

NBA-$134

NFL-$77

Tech-$75

Other+$72

Weather-$49

eSports+$45

Tennis-$3

Biggest hit

+$905

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?

Toughest beat

-$5.5K

Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?

Bought Yes · Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?$3014d ago
Bought Yes · Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?$8914d ago
Bought Yes · Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?$914d ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026?$12015d ago
Cashed out No · NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$40015d ago
Cashed out No · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$3.0K15d ago
Cashed out No · Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?$020d ago
Cashed out No · Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?$523d ago
Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$1.9K25d ago
Bought No · Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?$3525d ago
Bought No · Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?$1526d ago
Cashed out Yes · US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$026d ago