Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $109 | 91¢ | 96¢ | +$6 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Tech | No | $109 | 91¢ | 90¢ | -$1 |
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Politics | No | $50 | 60¢ | 40¢ | -$17 |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Politics | No | $31 | 78¢ | 74¢ | -$2 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Politics | No | $18 | 71¢ | 56¢ | -$4 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $10 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $10 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?Politics | No | $8 | 84¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Weather | No | $10 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $7 | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$2 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $8 | 84¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $7 | 73¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $9 | 87¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Politics | No | $8 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $9 | 86¢ | 78¢ | -$1 |
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $9 | 44¢ | 38¢ | -$1 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Politics | No | $5 | 50¢ | 69¢ | +$2 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 68¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Politics | No | $7 | 66¢ | 74¢ | +$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $8 | 76¢ | 72¢ | -$0 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 84¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 100¢ | 99¢ | -$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Politics | No | $10 | 67¢ | 39¢ | -$4 |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 64¢ | 56¢ | -$1 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 84¢ | 54¢ | -$3 |
Netanyahu out by July 31?Politics | No | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Politics | No | $8 | 77¢ | 49¢ | -$3 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?Politics | No | $5 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 97¢ | 96¢ | -$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $4 | 79¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $5 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Tech | No | $5 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Tech | Yes | $4 | 84¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Politics | No | $3 | 57¢ | 91¢ | +$2 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 84¢ | 88¢ | +$0 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $4 | 42¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech | No | $4 | 74¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Politics | Yes | $4 | 82¢ | 81¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $4 | 71¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Politics | No | $7 | 50¢ | 27¢ | -$3 |
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Politics | No | $3 | 56¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $4 | 36¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $6 | 57¢ | 38¢ | -$2 |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $4 | 82¢ | 73¢ | -$0 |
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Politics | No | $5 | 52¢ | 33¢ | -$2 |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 0.2¢ | 0.7¢ | +$2 |
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Politics | No | $3 | 61¢ | 63¢ | +$0 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $3 | 57¢ | 56¢ | -$0 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $3 | 28¢ | 20¢ | -$1 |
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Weather | Yes | $1 | 26¢ | 25¢ | -$0 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | Yes | $1 | 9.0¢ | 9.5¢ | +$0 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 61¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?Politics | NoResolved | $7 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |