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SIMOMEGA

Predicting since Jun 2026206 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?PoliticsYes$10991¢96¢+$6
GTA 6 launch postponed again?TechNo$10991¢90¢-$1
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?PoliticsNo$5060¢40¢-$17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?PoliticsNo$3178¢74¢-$2
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?PoliticsNo$1871¢56¢-$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$1094¢99¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$1099¢99¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?PoliticsNo$987¢98¢+$1
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1097¢97¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 27?PoliticsNo$884¢97¢+$1
AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?WeatherNo$1096¢96¢-$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$994¢95¢+$0
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?PoliticsNo$771¢94¢+$2
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?PoliticsNo$883¢93¢+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?PoliticsNo$884¢92¢+$1
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$773¢92¢+$2
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$987¢85¢-$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$879¢84¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$986¢78¢-$1
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?PoliticsYes$944¢38¢-$1
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$550¢69¢+$2
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?PoliticsYes$768¢74¢+$1
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$766¢74¢+$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?PoliticsNo$876¢72¢-$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?PoliticsNo$684¢94¢+$1
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$6100¢99¢-$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsNo$1067¢39¢-$4
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?PoliticsNo$664¢56¢-$1
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?PoliticsNo$884¢54¢-$3
Netanyahu out by July 31?PoliticsNo$5100¢100¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢100¢+$0
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢100¢+$0
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$599¢99¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$597¢98¢+$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?PoliticsNo$877¢49¢-$3
Iran Nuke before 2027?PoliticsNo$595¢95¢+$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$597¢96¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$590¢95¢+$0
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$479¢93¢+$1
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$592¢94¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$488¢94¢+$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?TechNo$591¢91¢-$0
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechYes$484¢86¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?PoliticsNo$357¢91¢+$2
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$484¢88¢+$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsNo$442¢42¢+$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$482¢84¢+$0
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?TechNo$474¢81¢+$0
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?PoliticsYes$482¢81¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$471¢81¢+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsNo$750¢27¢-$3
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$356¢77¢+$1
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechNo$436¢37¢+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$657¢38¢-$2
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?PoliticsNo$482¢73¢-$0
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?PoliticsNo$552¢33¢-$2
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?TechYes$10.2¢0.7¢+$2
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsNo$361¢63¢+$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$357¢56¢-$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsYes$328¢20¢-$1
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?WeatherYes$126¢25¢-$0
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?TechYes$19.0¢9.5¢+$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?PoliticsYesResolved$1261¢0.0¢-$12
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?PoliticsNoResolved$770¢0.0¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$33
Politics-$27
Crypto-$8
World Cup+$4
Mentions-$2
Economy+$1
Culture-$0
Weather-$0
Biggest hit
+$14
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Toughest beat
-$33
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold No · Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?$92h ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?$512h ago
  • Sold No · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$1414h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$419h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$419h ago
  • Sold No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$41d ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$101d ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?$101d ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?$101d ago
  • Cashed out No · Iran full airspace closure by July 24?$101d ago
  • Cashed out No · Israel closes its airspace by July 24?$51d ago
  • Bought No · Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$31d ago