← Whale Watch

Nivnivdavid

Predicting since Mar 202668 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETCryptoUpResolved$2038¢0.0¢-$20
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$511¢0.0¢-$5
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?EconomyYesResolved$43.8¢0.0¢-$4
Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)MentionsYesResolved$1049¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?EconomyYesResolved$527¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack?PoliticsYesResolved$13.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 2, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1543¢0.0¢-$15
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$59.0¢0.0¢-$5
Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?PoliticsYesResolved$37.1¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$1039¢0.0¢-$10
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$335¢0.0¢-$3
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 16 and 19 on April 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$14.9¢0.0¢-$1
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be 20 or more on April 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1044¢0.0¢-$10
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?PoliticsYesResolved$522¢0.0¢-$5
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?PoliticsYesResolved$420¢0.0¢-$4
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$523¢0.0¢-$5
Will the U.K. join the Board of Peace?PoliticsYesResolved$13.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$53.1¢0.0¢-$5
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$518¢0.0¢-$5
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$515¢0.0¢-$5
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$415¢0.0¢-$4
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.3¢0.0¢-$1
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?PoliticsNoResolved$1044¢0.0¢-$10
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1037¢0.0¢-$10
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$53.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?EconomyYesResolved$21.0¢0.0¢-$2
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$52.7¢0.0¢-$5
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$314¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCryptoUpResolved$514¢0.0¢-$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?PoliticsYesResolved$530¢0.0¢-$5
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$54.0¢0.0¢-$5
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$56.8¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$199
Crypto+$50
Mentions-$15
Economy-$11
Biggest hit
+$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Toughest beat
-$83
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$42mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$72mo ago
  • Sold No · Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?$122mo ago
  • Sold No · Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?$52mo ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$742mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$222mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$212mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$52mo ago
  • Sold Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$122mo ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$52mo ago
  • Sold Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$412mo ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$202mo ago