← Whale Watch

joember

Predicting since Apr 20261,410 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20067¢68¢+$1
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?PoliticsNo$16258¢69¢+$34
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?PoliticsNo$14078¢94¢+$29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?PoliticsNo$12273¢80¢+$10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?PoliticsYes$10068¢89¢+$31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?PoliticsYes$7649¢69¢+$32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$10056¢58¢+$4
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?PoliticsNo$10086¢88¢+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?PoliticsYes$5333¢61¢+$43
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?PoliticsNo$7655¢66¢+$16
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?PoliticsNo$7164¢79¢+$16
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?PoliticsYes$4538¢62¢+$29
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?PoliticsNo$4566¢81¢+$10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?PoliticsYes$3764¢76¢+$7
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?PoliticsNo$3970¢75¢+$3
Iran full airspace closure by August 15?PoliticsNo$2561¢80¢+$8
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?PoliticsYes$2857¢58¢+$1
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$2779¢79¢-$0
US strike on Colombia by December 31?PoliticsYes$2525¢25¢+$0
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?PoliticsNo$2063¢75¢+$4
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$1769¢31¢-$9
Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?CultureYes$2242¢8.0¢-$18

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category · still crunching older history, totals will deepen

Politics+$545
Crypto-$125
eSports+$59
NBA-$42
NHL+$41
MLB-$23
Culture-$18
Soccer (other)+$11
Premier League+$7
La Liga+$5
Tennis-$4
Biggest hit
+$286
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Toughest beat
-$518
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 31?$3910h ago
  • Sold No · Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$3910h ago
  • Bought No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?$2715h ago
  • Sold No · Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$2715h ago
  • Bought Yes · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?$3723h ago
  • Sold No · Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$3723h ago
  • Bought Yes · Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$281d ago
  • Bought Yes · Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1001d ago
  • Sold No · Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$651d ago
  • Bought No · Iran full airspace closure by August 15?$251d ago
  • Bought No · Israel closes its airspace by August 31?$201d ago
  • Bought Yes · US strike on Colombia by December 31?$251d ago