← Whale Watch

SoftMango

Predicting since Aug 202326 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Right now: $1.5K riding on Which company has the best AI model end of April?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?TechYesResolved$1.5K94¢100¢+$96
US recession by end of 2026?EconomyNo$7575¢88¢+$13
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?TechYes$1086¢92¢+$1
Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31?TechYesResolved$151.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$2623¢0.0¢-$26
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureNoResolved$35944¢0.0¢-$359
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?TechYesResolved$293.4¢0.0¢-$29
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?TechNoResolved$2136¢0.0¢-$21
GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?TechYesResolved$314.1¢0.0¢-$31
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?TechNoResolved$4020¢0.0¢-$40
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$142.5¢0.0¢-$14
Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?TechNoResolved$6959¢0.0¢-$69
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?CultureYesResolved$15.7¢0.0¢-$1
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?TechYesResolved$296.3¢0.0¢-$29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechYesResolved$59.5¢0.0¢-$5
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?TechNoResolved$5117¢0.0¢-$51
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?TechYesResolved$8016¢0.0¢-$80
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?TechNoResolved$1422¢0.0¢-$14

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Culture-$359
Tech-$341
NHL-$116
Politics-$71
Economy+$13
Biggest hit
+$181
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Toughest beat
-$251
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.5K2mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$42mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?$762mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$03mo ago
  • Cashed out No · US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$8333mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?$303mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?$303mo ago
  • Bought No · US recession by end of 2026?$753mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?$73mo ago
  • Bought Yes · GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026?$303mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?$53mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?$4303mo ago