← Whale Watch

Paul973973

Predicting since Jun 2026369 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $5.2K on World Cup markets since Jun 2026.

Right now: $8.2K riding on Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?.

Biggest hit: +$5.7K on Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?TechAnthropic$8.2K83¢89¢+$611
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$7.8K90¢83¢-$591
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.7K89¢93¢+$298
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?PoliticsNo$6.1K98¢99¢+$58
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NBAYes$4.0K98¢100¢+$86
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?PoliticsNo$3.4K98¢99¢+$56
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?FinanceYes$3.3K74¢72¢-$111
Will fewer than 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsYes$2.7K98¢100¢+$60
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?TechNo$2.5K79¢81¢+$74
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?PoliticsNo$2.5K96¢97¢+$31
Fed rate hike in 2026?EconomyYes$2.7K71¢68¢-$134
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?TechNo$2.0K76¢93¢+$450
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$2.2K93¢96¢+$66
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?TechNo$2.0K90¢97¢+$137
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?PoliticsNo$2.1K95¢95¢+$11
Will GameStop acquire eBay?FinanceNo$2.0K87¢88¢+$11
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?TechNo$1.8K91¢96¢+$114
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.6K97¢99¢+$26
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K96¢97¢+$20
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.5K98¢100¢+$24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$1.5K98¢99¢+$23
Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?PoliticsNo$1.5K99¢100¢+$14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?FinanceNo$1.5K99¢100¢+$11
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?NBANo$1.3K99¢100¢+$9
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?PoliticsNo$1.2K95¢96¢+$4
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K98¢99¢+$11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$1.1K99¢99¢+$1
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?PoliticsNo$100096¢99¢+$34
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?NBANo$100099¢100¢+$14
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?PoliticsNo$100096¢96¢+$6
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?TechNo$100087¢86¢-$11
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?PoliticsNo$1.0K54¢50¢-$76
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$90096¢95¢-$5
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?FinanceNo$90094¢94¢-$9
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?PoliticsNo$60099¢100¢+$2
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsNo$60093¢93¢-$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?PoliticsNo$50098¢98¢+$4
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?PoliticsYes$50099¢100¢+$3
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$50093¢92¢-$3
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$42038¢43¢+$60
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?PoliticsNo$40095¢94¢-$4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?FinanceNo$30098¢99¢+$3
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$30088¢86¢-$4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?PoliticsNo$30089¢85¢-$15
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$43039¢26¢-$147
Will Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?PoliticsYes$20097¢98¢+$3
US x Cuba economic deal by July 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$20097¢98¢+$2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?FinanceNo$20098¢99¢+$1
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other)Yes$13012¢11¢-$4
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?PoliticsNo$12587¢85¢-$4
Will 150-174 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsNo$12099¢100¢+$1
Will David Lammy be in the Burnham cabinet?PoliticsNo$10090¢99¢+$11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?PoliticsNo$10088¢93¢+$5
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?FinanceNo$10097¢99¢+$2
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in July?PoliticsNo$10099¢100¢+$1
Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?PoliticsNo$10096¢95¢-$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?TechNo$10081¢80¢-$2
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 13-July 19?PoliticsNo$8599¢100¢+$1
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$10038¢17¢-$54
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?PoliticsYes$10088¢38¢-$57
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?PoliticsYes$10098¢14¢-$86
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?TechYes$150.7¢0.1¢-$14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World CupYesResolved$65064¢0.0¢-$650
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$4008.1¢0.0¢-$400
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$1402.6¢0.0¢-$140
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceWorld CupNetherlandsResolved$4.0K89¢0.0¢-$4.0K
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$3004.9¢0.0¢-$300
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$20073¢0.0¢-$200
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?FinanceUpResolved$40097¢0.0¢-$400
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$3001.8¢0.0¢-$300
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupNoResolved$20098¢0.0¢-$200
Dota 2: KW vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group AeSportsSpirit AcademyResolved$13986¢0.0¢-$139
Will England win on 2026-06-23?World CupYesResolved$10084¢0.0¢-$100
Will Taylor Fritz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?TennisYesResolved$604.1¢0.0¢-$60
Knicks vs. SpursNBASpursResolved$10040¢0.0¢-$100
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$19119¢0.0¢-$191

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

World Cup+$5.2K
Tech+$3.3K
eSports+$2.3K
Tennis+$2.3K
Politics+$2.2K
Crypto+$602
NBA+$292
Finance-$253
Economy-$128
Soccer (other)-$90
NFL+$12
Mentions+$11
Biggest hit
+$5.7K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Toughest beat
-$4.0K
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova

Recent moves

  • Bought No · 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$100011h ago
  • Bought No · Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$90011h ago
  • Bought No · Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$10011h ago
  • Bought No · Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$20011h ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$3.5K18h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$10019h ago
  • Bought Yes · Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?$3.4K19h ago
  • Sold No · US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$75719h ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$3.0K1d ago
  • Cashed out No · US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026?$1.0K1d ago
  • Bought Yes · Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$5001d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$1.9K1d ago