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TheCornflakemerchant

Predicting since Jan 202672 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $18K on Politics markets since Jan 2026.

Right now: $4.8K across 4 Politics markets.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?PoliticsYes$4.5K87¢57¢-$1.5K
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?PoliticsNo$15096¢93¢-$4
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?CryptoYes$15036¢30¢-$27
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?PoliticsYes$6035¢7.0¢-$48
Iran coup attempt by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$1003.4¢0.0¢-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?Soccer (other)YesResolved$2029¢0.0¢-$20
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1001.3¢0.0¢-$100
Spread: Morocco (-3.5)World CupMoroccoResolved$50014¢0.0¢-$500
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship?GolfYesResolved$802.9¢0.0¢-$80
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World CupYesResolved$80014¢0.0¢-$800
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$8532¢0.0¢-$85
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$8017¢0.0¢-$80
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10051¢0.0¢-$100
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1004.7¢0.0¢-$100
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$80039¢0.0¢-$800
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)World CupSwitzerlandResolved$1005.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$10079¢0.0¢-$100
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$4000.9¢0.0¢-$400
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?PoliticsNoResolved$1508.3¢0.0¢-$150
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$50016¢0.0¢-$500
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.2¢0.0¢-$5
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$507.4¢0.0¢-$50
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?PoliticsNoResolved$1450.7¢0.0¢-$145
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?PoliticsNoResolved$303.9¢0.0¢-$30
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?NBAYesResolved$1003.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?PoliticsYesResolved$8017¢0.0¢-$80
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?PoliticsYesResolved$541.9¢0.0¢-$54
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$1006.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$10015¢0.0¢-$100
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$29026¢0.0¢-$290
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?MentionsYesResolved$10068¢0.0¢-$100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.2K13¢0.0¢-$1.2K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?World CupYesResolved$20025¢0.0¢-$200
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?PoliticsYesResolved$4009.7¢0.0¢-$400
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2.2K2.3¢0.0¢-$2.2K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$1.5K30¢0.0¢-$1.5K
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$25016¢0.0¢-$250
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?PoliticsYesResolved$3.9K41¢0.0¢-$3.9K
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$15043¢0.0¢-$150
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?PoliticsYesResolved$15019¢0.0¢-$150
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$20039¢0.0¢-$200
Will England win on 2026-07-11?World CupYesResolved$100038¢0.0¢-$1000
Kash Patel out by April 30?PoliticsYesResolved$10014¢0.0¢-$100
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?World CupYesResolved$10014¢0.0¢-$100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?PoliticsNoResolved$1.7K32¢0.0¢-$1.7K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$35024¢0.0¢-$350
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?PoliticsYesResolved$2306.3¢0.0¢-$230
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?TechNoResolved$20018¢0.0¢-$200
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$102.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 PGA Championship?GolfYesResolved$804.0¢0.0¢-$80
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?PoliticsYesResolved$1004.8¢0.0¢-$100
Will Trump visit China by May 15?PoliticsNoResolved$10019¢0.0¢-$100

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$18K
World Cup-$4.8K
Mentions-$200
Tech-$200
Golf-$160
Premier League+$136
NBA-$100
Weather-$72
Crypto-$27
Soccer (other)-$20
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$5.6K
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33611d ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.1K11d ago
  • Sold No · Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$61412d ago
  • Sold No · Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$15013d ago
  • Sold No · Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$20013d ago
  • Sold No · Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$1313d ago
  • Sold Yes · Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2614d ago
  • Sold No · Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?$8014d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$52114d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will England win on 2026-07-11?$1.0K14d ago