← Whale Watch

TheRiskManager

Predicting since Dec 2025423 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗
All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?TechYes$2948¢81¢+$20
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$89.8¢43¢+$27
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?PoliticsYes$825¢45¢+$6
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?EconomyNo$1044¢37¢-$2
Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNo$45.1¢5.7¢+$0
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?PoliticsYes$1011¢3.6¢-$6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?Soccer (other)YesResolved$931¢0.0¢-$9
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 9?FinanceDownResolved$134¢0.0¢-$1
Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$913¢0.0¢-$9
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?World CupYesResolved$1947¢0.0¢-$19
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1416¢0.0¢-$14
Will Burkina Faso win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?Soccer (other)YesResolved$11.1¢0.0¢-$1
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on December 29?FinanceDownResolved$549¢0.0¢-$5
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1314¢0.0¢-$13
Will Snowflake (SNOW) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1317¢0.0¢-$13
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on January 7?FinanceDownResolved$545¢0.0¢-$5
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on March 22?WeatherYesResolved$1135¢0.0¢-$11
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 7?FinanceDownResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$1156¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETCryptoUpResolved$552¢0.0¢-$5
Meta (META) Up or Down on January 2?FinanceUpResolved$1062¢0.0¢-$10
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 23?FinanceDownResolved$1045¢0.0¢-$10
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3211¢0.0¢-$32
Will Walmart (WMT) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1112¢0.0¢-$11
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 11?FinanceDownResolved$1365¢0.0¢-$13
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$215¢0.0¢-$2
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?World CupNoResolved$2043¢0.0¢-$20
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?CryptoETHResolved$421¢0.0¢-$4
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in January?EconomyYesResolved$72.4¢0.0¢-$7
Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$219.3¢0.0¢-$21
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 13?FinanceUpResolved$220¢0.0¢-$2
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$264.4¢0.0¢-$26
Will Google dip to $290 in January?FinanceYesResolved$525¢0.0¢-$5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3113¢0.0¢-$31
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 22?FinanceDownResolved$1418¢0.0¢-$14
Will Analog Devices (ADI) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1012¢0.0¢-$10
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1626¢0.0¢-$16
Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$156.6¢0.0¢-$15
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$24.2¢0.0¢-$2
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 16?FinanceDownResolved$236¢0.0¢-$2
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1115¢0.0¢-$11
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 10?FinanceUpResolved$1139¢0.0¢-$11
Will PNC Financial Services (PNC) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Caseys General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5World CupUnderResolved$2043¢0.0¢-$20
Will Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)MentionsNoResolved$221¢0.0¢-$2
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$435¢0.0¢-$4
Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$116¢0.0¢-$1
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?PoliticsYesResolved$153.4¢0.0¢-$15
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 10?FinanceDownResolved$1156¢0.0¢-$11
Will Frontdoor (FTDR) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$516¢0.0¢-$5
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$106.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Will the World team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?NBAYesResolved$1551¢0.0¢-$15
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1414¢0.0¢-$14
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 9?FinanceDownResolved$1052¢0.0¢-$10
Will Citizens Financial Group (CFG) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1010.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?Champions LeagueYesResolved$1038¢0.0¢-$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?Premier LeagueYesResolved$1441¢0.0¢-$14
Meta (META) Up or Down on January 8?FinanceUpResolved$413¢0.0¢-$4
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 30?FinanceUpResolved$1533¢0.0¢-$15
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 8?FinanceDownResolved$23.9¢0.0¢-$2
Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1015¢0.0¢-$10
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?PoliticsNoResolved$1839¢0.0¢-$18
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$28.0¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$334¢0.0¢-$3
Will Dropbox (DBX) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1914¢0.0¢-$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETCryptoUpResolved$548¢0.0¢-$5
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$311¢0.0¢-$3
Will Consolidated Edison (ED) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1118¢0.0¢-$11
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 4?FinanceUpResolved$663¢0.0¢-$6
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 2?FinanceUpResolved$165¢0.0¢-$1
Will Equifax Inc (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1717¢0.0¢-$17
Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1613¢0.0¢-$16
Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$2018¢0.0¢-$20
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on December 26?FinanceDownResolved$1125¢0.0¢-$11
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 22?FinanceDownResolved$20.2¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETCryptoUpResolved$546¢0.0¢-$5
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 26?FinanceDownResolved$1217¢0.0¢-$12
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on January 13?FinanceDownResolved$445¢0.0¢-$4
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?Soccer (other)YesResolved$956¢0.0¢-$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETCryptoDownResolved$620¢0.0¢-$6
Will Autodesk (ADSK) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1715¢0.0¢-$17
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$313¢0.0¢-$3
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$319¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Jerome Too Late Powell" in January?MentionsNoResolved$1549¢0.0¢-$15
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-22?Soccer (other)YesResolved$529¢0.0¢-$5
Will PepsiCo Inc (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1111¢0.0¢-$11
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 7?FinanceUpResolved$532¢0.0¢-$5
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $490 end of December?FinanceYesResolved$1156¢0.0¢-$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETCryptoDownResolved$1050¢0.0¢-$10
Gold (GC) Up or Down on January 20?FinanceDownResolved$21.6¢0.0¢-$2
Will Samsara (IOT) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$814¢0.0¢-$8
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 17?FinanceDownResolved$4454¢0.0¢-$44
Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$297.3¢0.0¢-$29
Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in January?FinanceYesResolved$842¢0.0¢-$8
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 17?FinanceDownResolved$2622¢0.0¢-$26
Will Arm Holdings (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?FinanceNoResolved$1715¢0.0¢-$17
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?Premier LeagueYesResolved$737¢0.0¢-$7

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Finance+$636
Politics+$247
Economy+$192
Premier League-$71
Crypto+$37
Other sports-$25
Weather-$20
Soccer (other)-$16
La Liga-$12
NBA+$11
Mentions-$10
Culture+$8
Biggest hit
+$190
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Toughest beat
-$28
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on April 6?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?$41d ago
  • Cashed out Down · S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?$301d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 24?$91d ago
  • Cashed out Down · Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 24?$351d ago
  • Bought Down · Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 24?$82d ago
  • Bought Down · Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 24?$102d ago
  • Bought Down · Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 24?$42d ago
  • Bought Down · Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 24?$52d ago
  • Bought Down · S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 24?$112d ago
  • Bought Down · S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24?$122d ago
  • Bought Up · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$53d ago
  • Bought Down · Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$53d ago