← Whale Watch

iwasmugen

Predicting since Jun 202588 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $3.4K on Politics markets since Jun 2025.

Right now: $1.3K riding on Fed Decision in July?.

Biggest hit: +$1.6K on US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$1.3K82¢84¢+$22
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$73020¢14¢-$237
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsNo$52064¢47¢-$140
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?PoliticsYes$44015¢5.5¢-$284
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$12910¢8.5¢-$20
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?EconomyYes$20016¢8.0¢-$100
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?PoliticsYes$687.8¢3.6¢-$36
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$6541¢0.0¢-$65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5017¢0.0¢-$50
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$2014¢0.0¢-$20
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5010¢0.0¢-$50
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1076¢0.0¢-$10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$598.7¢0.0¢-$59
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$251.6¢0.0¢-$25
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3030¢0.0¢-$30
Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1021¢0.0¢-$10
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$108.0¢0.0¢-$10
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$506.7¢0.0¢-$50
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$1510¢0.0¢-$15
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$3552¢0.0¢-$35
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$156.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$5011¢0.0¢-$50
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1030¢0.0¢-$10
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1063¢0.0¢-$10
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2546¢0.0¢-$25
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1517¢0.0¢-$15
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?World CupYesResolved$157.3¢0.0¢-$15
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1025¢0.0¢-$10
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$2028¢0.0¢-$20
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$1013¢0.0¢-$10
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$656.3¢0.0¢-$65
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World CupYesResolved$92.1¢0.0¢-$9

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$3.4K
World Cup-$488
Economy-$389
MLB-$300
Crypto-$68
Biggest hit
+$1.6K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$2.0K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3265d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3276d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$4410d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$4410d ago
  • Bought No · Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$6718d ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$6718d ago