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topbanana

Predicting since Feb 202685 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Up $1.5K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Biggest hit: +$1.4K on U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
US strike on Mexico by December 31?PoliticsYes$46817¢12¢-$136
Cuban regime falls in 2026?PoliticsYes$36025¢18¢-$102
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$108.0¢11¢+$3
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$54.1¢4.9¢+$1
Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?PoliticsYes$23.9¢3.5¢-$0
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$103.8¢0.0¢-$10
Military action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$150.3¢0.0¢-$15
Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETCryptoUpResolved$156¢0.0¢-$1
Military action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$100.3¢0.0¢-$10
US forces enter Iran by March 7?PoliticsYesResolved$1007.0¢0.0¢-$100
US strike on Mexico by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$100.1¢0.0¢-$10
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus PlayoffseSportsMovistar KOIResolved$1052¢0.0¢-$10
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will the US strike Iran next?PoliticsYesResolved$52.0¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETCryptoUpResolved$154¢0.0¢-$1
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$509.0¢0.0¢-$50
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$101.7¢0.0¢-$10
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?PoliticsYesResolved$10020¢0.0¢-$100
Military action against Iran ends on April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?PoliticsYesResolved$7010.0¢0.0¢-$70
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsNoResolved$1159.4¢0.0¢-$115
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$130.8¢0.0¢-$13
US forces enter Iran by March 31?PoliticsYesResolved$1251.2¢0.0¢-$125
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETCryptoUpResolved$164¢0.0¢-$1
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceWorld CupBrazilResolved$10.1¢0.0¢-$1
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?EconomyYesResolved$307.8¢0.0¢-$30
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?World CupYesResolved$22.7¢0.0¢-$2
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceWorld CupParaguayResolved$1512¢0.0¢-$15
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" at The Villages on May 1?MentionsYesResolved$448¢0.0¢-$4
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?CultureYesResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETCryptoDownResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Disney" at The Villages on May 1?MentionsYesResolved$325¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?MentionsYesResolved$106.3¢0.0¢-$10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$107.0¢0.0¢-$10
Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
US forces enter Iran by March 3?PoliticsYesResolved$101.8¢0.0¢-$10
US forces enter Iran by March 14?PoliticsYesResolved$21022¢0.0¢-$210
Military action against Iran ends on April 13, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.2¢0.0¢-$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$131¢0.0¢-$1
Military action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$60.2¢0.0¢-$6
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.4¢0.0¢-$3
Military action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$30.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Trump's remarks not air?MentionsYesResolved$21.5¢0.0¢-$2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?PoliticsYesResolved$100.7¢0.0¢-$10
Military action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$50.2¢0.0¢-$5
Military action against Iran ends on April 20, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ETCryptoUpResolved$13.0¢0.0¢-$1
Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$20.1¢0.0¢-$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETCryptoUpResolved$111¢0.0¢-$1
Will Trump say "Tariff" at The Villages on May 1?MentionsNoResolved$223¢0.0¢-$2

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics+$1.5K
Economy-$30
Mentions-$21
World Cup-$18
eSports-$10
Culture-$2
Crypto+$1
Biggest hit
+$1.4K
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Toughest beat
-$72
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Yes · Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$120d ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$120d ago
  • Bought Brazil · Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$120d ago
  • Bought Paraguay · Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance$1521d ago
  • Bought Yes · Cuban regime falls in 2026?$601mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1001mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Cuban regime falls in 2026?$502mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?$12mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1002mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Cuban regime falls in 2026?$502mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$502mo ago
  • Sold Yes · US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$912mo ago