← Whale Watch

llmfangirl

Predicting since Oct 202545 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $17K on Tech markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $5.1K across 2 Tech markets.

Biggest hit: +$17K on Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?TechNoResolved$5.1K85¢100¢+$917
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?TechNoResolved$1232¢100¢+$25
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?TechYesResolved$1646.3¢0.0¢-$164
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?TechYesResolved$2736.0¢0.0¢-$273
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?TechYesResolved$1515¢0.0¢-$15
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?TechYesResolved$66.0¢0.0¢-$6
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?TechYesResolved$77426¢0.0¢-$774
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?TechYesResolved$38421¢0.0¢-$384
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?TechYesResolved$1.3K66¢0.0¢-$1.3K
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?TechYesResolved$8920¢0.0¢-$89
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$43.3¢0.0¢-$4
Grokipedia released by October 31?TechNoResolved$218¢0.0¢-$2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?TechYesResolved$450¢0.0¢-$4
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?TechYesResolved$11.0¢0.0¢-$1
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?TechYesResolved$66.2¢0.0¢-$6
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?EconomyYesResolved$18222¢0.0¢-$182
Grokipedia released by December 31?TechNoResolved$38.8¢0.0¢-$3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?TechYesResolved$772.6¢0.0¢-$77
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?TechYesResolved$285.7¢0.0¢-$28
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$2908.4¢0.0¢-$290
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?TechYesResolved$33.2¢0.0¢-$3
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?TechNoResolved$55.2¢0.0¢-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$17K
Economy-$182
Politics+$0
Biggest hit
+$17K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Toughest beat
-$18K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Recent moves

  • Bought No · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$125mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$5.1K5mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$8525mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$3975mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1525mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$2565mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.1K5mo ago
  • Cashed out No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$4.8K5mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$336mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$226mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$786mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$686mo ago