llmfangirl

Predicting since Oct 202545 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $17K on Tech markets since Oct 2025.

Right now: $5.1K across 2 Tech markets.

Biggest hit: +$17K on Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?.

All-time PnL

+$0

This year

+$0

Last 30 days

+$0

Portfolio value

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle

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Profit over time

What they are betting now

Market	Side	Stake	Entry	Now	PnL
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$5.1K	85¢	100¢	+$917
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech	NoResolved	$12	32¢	100¢	+$25
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$164	6.3¢	0.0¢	-$164
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 25 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$273	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$273
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?Tech	YesResolved	$15	15¢	0.0¢	-$15
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$6	6.0¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$774	26¢	0.0¢	-$774
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$384	21¢	0.0¢	-$384
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech	YesResolved	$1.3K	66¢	0.0¢	-$1.3K
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech	YesResolved	$89	20¢	0.0¢	-$89
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$4	3.3¢	0.0¢	-$4
Grokipedia released by October 31?Tech	NoResolved	$2	18¢	0.0¢	-$2
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech	YesResolved	$4	50¢	0.0¢	-$4
Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$1	1.0¢	0.0¢	-$1
Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$6	6.2¢	0.0¢	-$6
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Economy	YesResolved	$182	22¢	0.0¢	-$182
Grokipedia released by December 31?Tech	NoResolved	$3	8.8¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$77	2.6¢	0.0¢	-$77
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?Tech	YesResolved	$28	5.7¢	0.0¢	-$28
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech	YesResolved	$290	8.4¢	0.0¢	-$290
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech	YesResolved	$3	3.2¢	0.0¢	-$3
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Tech	NoResolved	$5	5.2¢	0.0¢	-$5

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Tech-$17K

Economy-$182

Politics+$0

Biggest hit

+$17K

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?

Toughest beat

-$18K

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Recent moves

Bought No · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$127mo ago
Bought No · Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$5.1K7mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$8527mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$3977mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1527mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$2567mo ago
Bought Yes · Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.1K7mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$4.8K7mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$337mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$227mo ago
Bought No · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$788mo ago
Sold Yes · Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$688mo ago