Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $3 | 1.1¢ | 12¢ | +$23 |
Will Brann win Norway Eliteserien?Soccer (other) | No | $4 | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Politics | No | $4 | 74¢ | 86¢ | +$1 |
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Politics | No | $3 | 74¢ | 97¢ | +$1 |
Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?Politics | No | $4 | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | Yes | $0 | 5.3¢ | 78¢ | +$4 |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Culture | No | $2 | 57¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
| Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?Politics | Yes | $45 | 13¢ | 1.0¢ | -$41 |
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Politics | No | $3 | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $257 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$254 |
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Formula 1 | No | $3 | 88¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?NBA | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?NBA | No | $3 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?Politics | No | $3 | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 |
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $231 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$228 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $3 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 45¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
Will Palmeiras win Copa Libertadores?Soccer (other) | No | $1 | 21¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBA | No | $3 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 51¢ | 57¢ | +$0 |
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?Crypto | No | $2 | 66¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
Will the Republicans win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 91¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $0 | 7.7¢ | 65¢ | +$2 |
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $3 | 1.1¢ | 1.1¢ | -$0 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Economy | No | $2 | 75¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Will Trump endorse Yisrael Beiteinu in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$2 |
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 85¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump endorse Hadash–Ta'al in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-04 House seat?Politics | No | $2 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump endorse Shas in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.3¢ | 2.1¢ | -$3 |
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | Yes | $3 | 1.1¢ | 0.9¢ | -$0 |
| Will Trump endorse Noam in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.3¢ | 1.9¢ | -$3 |
Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?Politics | No | $2 | 61¢ | 79¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 43¢ | 48¢ | +$0 |
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?NBA | No | $1 | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?NBA | No | $1 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?NBA | No | $2 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Jalen Duren play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?NBA | Yes | $1 | 3.0¢ | 5.5¢ | +$1 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $1 | 46¢ | 59¢ | +$0 |
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?eSports | No | $2 | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?Soccer (other) | No | $2 | 45¢ | 42¢ | -$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 39¢ | 42¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump endorse Democrats in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.3¢ | 1.6¢ | -$3 |
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 43¢ | 93¢ | +$1 |
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien?Soccer (other) | No | $1 | 29¢ | 41¢ | +$0 |
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-04-12?MLS | No | $2 | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republican Party hold between 220 and 224 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Politics | No | $1 | 85¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $2 | 46¢ | 34¢ | -$1 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $2 | 58¢ | 47¢ | -$0 |
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Politics | Yes | $0 | 3.0¢ | 59¢ | +$1 |
Will Kristian Campbell win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?MLB | Yes | $1 | 3.3¢ | 7.5¢ | +$1 |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Politics | No | $1 | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
| Will Russell Westbrook play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?NBA | No | $0 | 29¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
Will Zack Gelof win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?MLB | Yes | $1 | 3.3¢ | 7.0¢ | +$1 |
Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?NBA | No | $1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?NBA | No | $1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 48¢ | 43¢ | -$0 |
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2026 NFC South?NFL | No | $1 | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$0 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026?Tech | No | $1 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?UFC / MMA | No | $1 | 75¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $95 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$94 |
Will Corinthians win Copa Libertadores?Soccer (other) | Yes | $1 | 4.2¢ | 6.6¢ | +$0 |
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | No | $1 | 17¢ | 35¢ | +$1 |
Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Politics | No | $1 | 49¢ | 62¢ | +$0 |
| Will Trump endorse New Hope in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $5 | 4.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -$4 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $92 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$91 |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 83¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $90 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$89 |
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Tech | Yes | $86 | 3.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$85 |
Will ISM Services PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?Economy | No | $1 | 53¢ | 85¢ | +$0 |
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 91¢ | 91¢ | +$0 |
Will July be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $1 | 92¢ | 94¢ | +$0 |
Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?MLB | Yes | $1 | 3.3¢ | 5.5¢ | +$0 |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | No | $1 | 36¢ | 37¢ | +$0 |
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics | No | $1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $1 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$0 |
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Politics | No | $1 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 14?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $6 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on June 30?Weather | YesResolved | $7 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 26, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $0 | 2.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 24?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $23 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$23 |
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 14?Weather | YesResolved | $4 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on April 8?Weather | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 28?Weather | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | -$0 | -0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | +$0 |
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on July 5?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Desmond Bane win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?NBA | YesResolved | $0 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
Will White House post 40-59 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $17 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C on June 27?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Ariel HukportiNBA | YesResolved | $2 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on July 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Al Taawoun Saudi Club 1 - 2 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?Soccer (other) | YesResolved | $5 | 5.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on July 3?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $32 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NHL | YesResolved | $131 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$131 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 31?Weather | YesResolved | $8 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 66-67°F on May 3?Weather | YesResolved | $12 | 9.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |