 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.3K | 81¢ | 83¢ | +$32 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $1.3K | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$3 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $598 | 80¢ | 80¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $507 | 90¢ | 93¢ | +$13 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $501 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $458 | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$28 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $465 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $433 | 87¢ | 88¢ | +$4 |
 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $416 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $353 | 88¢ | 87¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Politics | No | $332 | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$9 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $325 | 20¢ | 20¢ | +$2 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $296 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $244 | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$0 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Politics | No | $217 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$12 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $205 | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | Yes | $200 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$6 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Weather | No | $205 | 97¢ | 97¢ | -$0 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Crypto | No | $201 | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Politics | No | $188 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics | No | $170 | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$4 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics | Yes | $173 | 58¢ | 56¢ | -$5 |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $162 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Politics | No | $140 | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $134 | 88¢ | 92¢ | +$5 |
| Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?Mentions | No | $111 | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$17 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Politics | No | $109 | 85¢ | 95¢ | +$12 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Politics | No | $108 | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Iran leadership change by July 31?Politics | No | $105 | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$3 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $107 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Politics | No | $99 | 86¢ | 93¢ | +$7 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $105 | 99¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Politics | No | $104 | 95¢ | 95¢ | +$1 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $95 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $62 | 28¢ | 42¢ | +$31 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $87 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Politics | No | $82 | 67¢ | 72¢ | +$6 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?Crypto | No | $87 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Soccer (other) | No | $72 | 65¢ | 74¢ | +$10 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $79 | 80¢ | 80¢ | +$0 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?Politics | No | $78 | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $79 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?Crypto | No | $77 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Politics | No | $74 | 82¢ | 85¢ | +$2 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $75 | 42¢ | 43¢ | +$1 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $60 | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$15 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $74 | 14¢ | 12¢ | -$7 |
 Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White SoxMLB | Atlanta Braves | $60 | 47¢ | 53¢ | +$7 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $67 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay?Finance | No | $64 | 86¢ | 88¢ | +$1 |
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Crypto | No | $70 | 79¢ | 74¢ | -$5 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $65 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Politics | No | $63 | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $81 | 77¢ | 59¢ | -$19 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | Yes | $60 | 12¢ | 13¢ | +$1 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $60 | 57¢ | 57¢ | -$0 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | No | $59 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Politics | Yes | $56 | 63¢ | 67¢ | +$3 |
 Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $59 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $54 | 77¢ | 85¢ | +$5 |
 Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $58 | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $59 | 76¢ | 73¢ | -$2 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $52 | 65¢ | 69¢ | +$3 |
 Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Economy | No | $51 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $48 | 80¢ | 82¢ | +$1 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $44 | 84¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Politics | No | $49 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $49 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $47 | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics | No | $47 | 90¢ | 90¢ | +$0 |
| Trump out as President by July 31?Politics | No | $47 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Politics | Yes | $34 | 68¢ | 88¢ | +$10 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | Yes | $45 | 81¢ | 79¢ | -$1 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Politics | Yes | $53 | 80¢ | 66¢ | -$9 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Politics | No | $40 | 89¢ | 95¢ | +$3 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $41 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$1 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Politics | No | $42 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $40 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $41 | 14¢ | 14¢ | -$1 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Politics | No | $32 | 54¢ | 68¢ | +$8 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $37 | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | No | $37 | 77¢ | 80¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $36 | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?Crypto | No | $35 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Politics | No | $27 | 70¢ | 94¢ | +$9 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $49 | 22¢ | 16¢ | -$14 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Politics | No | $32 | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $33 | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 |
 Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $31 | 90¢ | 95¢ | +$2 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $35 | 40¢ | 38¢ | -$2 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Politics | No | $27 | 81¢ | 98¢ | +$6 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in July?Crypto | No | $32 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Politics | No | $34 | 71¢ | 66¢ | -$3 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027?Politics | No | $31 | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $30 | 98¢ | 98¢ | -$0 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Politics | No | $30 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $29 | 62¢ | 66¢ | +$1 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $25 | 79¢ | 94¢ | +$5 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?Crypto | No | $29 | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Politics | No | $27 | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
Bought No · AI bubble burst in 2026?$457m ago