← Whale Watch

blackswandrift

Predicting since Aug 2025144 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $4.5K on Crypto markets since Aug 2025.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$100.5¢0.0¢-$10
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$505.9¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$200.6¢0.0¢-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?CryptoYesResolved$701.9¢0.0¢-$70
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$506.3¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 1?CryptoNoResolved$200.9¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$10024¢0.0¢-$100
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$603.4¢0.0¢-$60
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$200.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?TechYesResolved$5043¢0.0¢-$50
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?PoliticsNoResolved$1008.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 10?CryptoNoResolved$5012¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?PoliticsYesResolved$5029¢0.0¢-$50
Maduro out in 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$10014¢0.0¢-$100
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 17 2025?TechYesResolved$2502.4¢0.0¢-$250
Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?PoliticsYesResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?CryptoYesResolved$503.1¢0.0¢-$50
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$200.3¢0.0¢-$20
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?PoliticsYesResolved$30019¢0.0¢-$300
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$203.2¢0.0¢-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025?TechYesResolved$503.7¢0.0¢-$50
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?CryptoYesResolved$305.1¢0.0¢-$30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 2?CryptoNoResolved$202.0¢0.0¢-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?PoliticsYesResolved$202.3¢0.0¢-$20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 2?CryptoYesResolved$202.1¢0.0¢-$20
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 20 2025?TechYesResolved$403.8¢0.0¢-$40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 2?CryptoYesResolved$201.7¢0.0¢-$20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 2?CryptoNoResolved$505.9¢0.0¢-$50
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?Other sportsYesResolved$5013¢0.0¢-$50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?CryptoNoResolved$200.6¢0.0¢-$20
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?CryptoDownResolved$1008.0¢0.0¢-$100
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?TechYesResolved$508.0¢0.0¢-$50
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?TechYesResolved$62.3¢0.0¢-$6

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Crypto-$4.5K
Tech-$2.2K
Politics-$103
Other sports-$50
Economy+$41
Culture-$13
Mentions-$10
Biggest hit
+$667
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Toughest beat
-$1.3K
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Recent moves

  • Sold Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$85mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$115mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$125mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$65mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$375mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$506mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$506mo ago
  • Sold Yes · Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$3056mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$106mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$506mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?$506mo ago
  • Bought Yes · Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$506mo ago