← Whale Watch

NerdOnWeed

Predicting since Feb 202690 markets tradedPolymarket profile ↗

Down $23K on Politics markets since Feb 2026.

Right now: $3.6K riding on Iran closes its airspace by...?.

Biggest hit: +$55K on US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?.

All-time PnL
+$0
This year
+$0
Last 30 days
+$0
Portfolio value
$0

Deep stats

Bucko Oracle
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Profit over time

What they are betting now

MarketSideStakeEntryNowPnL
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?CryptoYesResolved$2.5K0.4¢0.0¢-$2.5K
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?PoliticsYesResolved$3.6K22¢0.0¢-$3.6K

Where the money comes from

Realized + open PnL by category

Politics-$23K
Crypto-$19K
Biggest hit
+$55K
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Toughest beat
-$35K
US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Recent moves

  • Bought Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$231mo ago
  • Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5621mo ago
  • Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9701mo ago
  • Bought Yes · MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.0K1mo ago
  • Cashed out Yes · Will Trump visit China by May 15?$02mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump visit China by May 15?$192mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump visit China by May 15?$9632mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump visit China by May 15?$6272mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump visit China by May 15?$12mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump visit China by May 15?$12mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump visit China by May 15?$12mo ago
  • Bought No · Will Trump visit China by May 15?$02mo ago