 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $76K | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$76K |
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $8.0K | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$441 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $5.9K | 54¢ | 73¢ | +$2.1K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $5.1K | 32¢ | 35¢ | +$483 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $3.0K | 50¢ | 64¢ | +$843 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $1.5K | 28¢ | 66¢ | +$2.0K |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $1.8K | 50¢ | 66¢ | +$578 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $759 | 26¢ | 66¢ | +$1.2K |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | No | $3.3K | 46¢ | 27¢ | -$1.4K |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $1.4K | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$7 |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $1.4K | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$13 |
 Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 67¢ | 62¢ | -$82 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $591 | 20¢ | 34¢ | +$399 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $1.3K | 33¢ | 24¢ | -$377 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $530 | 38¢ | 65¢ | +$369 |
| Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $644 | 23¢ | 30¢ | +$197 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $386 | 34¢ | 55¢ | +$238 |
 Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $227 | 62¢ | 96¢ | +$126 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $41 | 3.6¢ | 28¢ | +$284 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $304 | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $269 | 78¢ | 87¢ | +$31 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $282 | 94¢ | 98¢ | +$10 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $281 | 82¢ | 83¢ | +$3 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $95 | 20¢ | 54¢ | +$162 |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | No | $273 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$21 |
 Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $297 | 0.3¢ | 0.3¢ | -$69 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $76K | 50¢ | 0.1¢ | -$76K |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics | No | $237 | 72¢ | 65¢ | -$23 |
 Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $166 | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$21 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $95 | 20¢ | 38¢ | +$86 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $155 | 84¢ | 87¢ | +$7 |
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election?Politics | No | $137 | 91¢ | 97¢ | +$9 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $476 | 13¢ | 3.6¢ | -$345 |
| Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $101 | 67¢ | 78¢ | +$15 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Politics | Yes | $68 | 34¢ | 56¢ | +$45 |
 Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $66 | 20¢ | 33¢ | +$42 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $104 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$2 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $88 | 77¢ | 89¢ | +$13 |
 Will the Left Party (V) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $100 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will United Torah Judaism win 8% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $93 | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$4 |
 Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Politics | No | $89 | 89¢ | 89¢ | +$0 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $130 | 65¢ | 44¢ | -$43 |
 Will Shas win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $84 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $41 | 3.6¢ | 6.5¢ | +$33 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $72 | 80¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $119 | 2.4¢ | 1.3¢ | -$56 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $95 | 0.9¢ | 0.5¢ | -$37 |
 Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $52 | 70¢ | 77¢ | +$5 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $40 | 3.5¢ | 4.3¢ | +$9 |
| Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $42 | 17¢ | 19¢ | +$4 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $611 | 12¢ | 0.9¢ | -$568 |
 Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 25¢ | 53¢ | +$22 |
| Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Politics | Yes | $13 | 1.3¢ | 4.2¢ | +$28 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $147 | 30¢ | 7.5¢ | -$110 |
| Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $41 | 81¢ | 66¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $517 | 17¢ | 1.0¢ | -$487 |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $20 | 25¢ | 36¢ | +$9 |
 Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Politics | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 51¢ | +$16 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $23 | 75¢ | 74¢ | -$0 |
| Will Blue and White win 3.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $21 | 85¢ | 84¢ | -$0 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Politics | No | $24 | 46¢ | 34¢ | -$7 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $12 | 67¢ | 93¢ | +$5 |
| Will Ra'am win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $16 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $26 | 28¢ | 18¢ | -$9 |
 Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 32¢ | +$14 |
| Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $14 | 70¢ | 77¢ | +$1 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $149 | 4.4¢ | 0.4¢ | -$134 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $11 | 9.2¢ | 13¢ | +$4 |
 Will the Green Party (MP) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $15 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will Ra'am win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 7.3¢ | 21¢ | +$9 |
 Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $24 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$12 |
 Will Joint List win fewer than 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $12 | 79¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
 Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $22 | 0.1¢ | 0.1¢ | -$11 |
 Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 23¢ | 25¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $95 | 20¢ | 2.1¢ | -$86 |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 6% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 12¢ | 16¢ | +$2 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $9 | 13¢ | 13¢ | +$0 |
| Will Unity win 2% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $8 | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $7 | 13¢ | 14¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 14¢ | +$6 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 13¢ | +$5 |
| Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?Politics | Yes | $10 | 20¢ | 12¢ | -$4 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 39¢ | +$3 |
| Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | No | $5 | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?Politics | No | $5 | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$1 |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 11¢ | 7.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will RZP-Zehut win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 2.0¢ | 2.5¢ | +$1 |
 Will the Centre Party (C) win seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | -$0 |
| Will Shas win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $4 | 35¢ | 42¢ | +$1 |
| Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 20¢ | 28¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 8.9¢ | +$3 |
 Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $8 | 49¢ | 28¢ | -$3 |
 Will Yashar win 20-21 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 11¢ | 11¢ | -$0 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $37 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$34 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 7.0¢ | +$2 |
| Will Together win 11-13% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $2 | 11¢ | 17¢ | +$1 |
| Will Yashar win 26-27 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $5 | 13¢ | 9.0¢ | -$2 |
 Will Blue & White win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Politics | Yes | $3 | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$0 |
 Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $3 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 6.0¢ | +$1 |
