 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | No | $80K | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$79K |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $7.3K | 76¢ | 83¢ | +$718 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $6.8K | 86¢ | 83¢ | -$211 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $4.8K | 42¢ | 42¢ | -$90 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $2.0K | 43¢ | 62¢ | +$892 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $1.5K | 36¢ | 59¢ | +$985 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $2.2K | 59¢ | 64¢ | +$174 |
 Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?Politics | No | $2.0K | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$141 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $648 | 27¢ | 56¢ | +$696 |
 Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $443 | 7.1¢ | 16¢ | +$550 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Economy | No | $1.2K | 53¢ | 42¢ | -$265 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $80K | 50¢ | 0.5¢ | -$79K |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | No | $560 | 12¢ | 17¢ | +$222 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $480 | 20¢ | 30¢ | +$228 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $185 | 20¢ | 54¢ | +$311 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $379 | 40¢ | 52¢ | +$111 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $331 | 67¢ | 85¢ | +$88 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $34 | 3.6¢ | 34¢ | +$284 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $354 | 15¢ | 8.1¢ | -$159 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $198 | 4.5¢ | 4.3¢ | -$8 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Economy | Yes | $187 | 69¢ | 66¢ | -$8 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $97 | 9.6¢ | 17¢ | +$78 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | Yes | $73 | 1.4¢ | 2.6¢ | +$58 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by July 31?Politics | No | $100 | 76¢ | 86¢ | +$13 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 23?Politics | Yes | $111 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Politics | No | $111 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 |
 Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Politics | No | $88 | 77¢ | 79¢ | +$2 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?Politics | No | $77 | 87¢ | 94¢ | +$6 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $37 | 0.6¢ | 1.4¢ | +$42 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $71 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $36 | 1.7¢ | 3.3¢ | +$34 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Economy | Yes | $147 | 30¢ | 14¢ | -$80 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $34 | 3.6¢ | 6.5¢ | +$28 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $59 | 65¢ | 65¢ | -$0 |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $25 | 2.6¢ | 4.2¢ | +$14 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $30 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$7 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Economy | No | $32 | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 |
 Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Politics | Yes | $31 | 80¢ | 83¢ | +$1 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $406 | 17¢ | 1.2¢ | -$377 |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $26 | 28¢ | 32¢ | +$3 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Politics | No | $16 | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$2 |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $14 | 0.2¢ | 0.3¢ | +$3 |
 Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 33¢ | +$15 |
 Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Economy | Yes | $157 | 8.8¢ | 0.5¢ | -$147 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $546 | 20¢ | 0.4¢ | -$536 |
 Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$8 |
 Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$4 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $158 | 18¢ | 0.9¢ | -$150 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Economy | Yes | $3 | 11¢ | 28¢ | +$5 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $47 | 0.9¢ | 0.1¢ | -$39 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 13¢ | +$5 |
 Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.3¢ | -$7 |
 Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$12 |
 Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$12 |
 Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$12 |
 Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $17 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$12 |
| Will 240-249 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | No | $4 | 81¢ | 96¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 10¢ | +$3 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 9.0¢ | +$3 |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $9 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$4 |
 Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$9 |
 Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$9 |
 Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $13 | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | -$9 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include USR + UDMR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 7.2¢ | +$2 |
 Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Politics | Yes | $19 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | -$15 |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.5¢ | 0.4¢ | -$2 |
 Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $30 | 1.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$27 |
| Will 230-239 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $2 | 5.0¢ | 6.9¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 6.5¢ | +$2 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 5.0¢ | +$1 |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $34 | 3.6¢ | 0.3¢ | -$32 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 4.7¢ | +$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 3.6¢ | +$0 |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $5 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$3 |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $4 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | -$2 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR?Politics | Yes | $1 | 3.1¢ | 5.0¢ | +$1 |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $2 | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$0 |
| Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $34 | 3.6¢ | 0.1¢ | -$33 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR + AUR?Politics | Yes | $2 | 3.1¢ | 2.1¢ | -$1 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $352 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$352 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
