 Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $4.7K | 90¢ | 89¢ | -$75 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Tech | Yes | $972 | 72¢ | 74¢ | +$22 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 11¢ | 9.5¢ | -$150 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 13¢ | 8.5¢ | -$359 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Politics | No | $600 | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$18 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $568 | 93¢ | 99¢ | +$39 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Politics | No | $280 | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$19 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics | Yes | $116 | 28¢ | 47¢ | +$77 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Politics | No | $147 | 73¢ | 93¢ | +$39 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | No | $148 | 37¢ | 42¢ | +$20 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31?Politics | Yes | $121 | 17¢ | 21¢ | +$22 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 56¢ | 68¢ | +$21 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $108 | 34¢ | 35¢ | +$2 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 87¢ | 95¢ | +$9 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Politics | Yes | $96 | 96¢ | 96¢ | -$1 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 69¢ | 65¢ | -$5 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $78 | 78¢ | 89¢ | +$11 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Economy | Up | $85 | 85¢ | 77¢ | -$8 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $84 | 76¢ | 66¢ | -$12 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 17¢ | 8.5¢ | -$49 |
 Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 95¢ | 94¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $60 | 32¢ | 20¢ | -$23 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $83 | 29¢ | 12¢ | -$48 |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 69¢ | +$24 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $54 | 45¢ | 28¢ | -$21 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $30 | 88¢ | 86¢ | -$1 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $36 | 36¢ | 21¢ | -$15 |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Politics | Yes | $40 | 40¢ | 20¢ | -$21 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $71 | 71¢ | 19¢ | -$53 |
 Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $30 | 0.3¢ | 0.1¢ | -$13 |
| Will 220-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 22¢ | +$1 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 42¢ | 44¢ | +$0 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 72¢ | 27¢ | -$16 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 10¢ | 7.1¢ | -$2 |
 Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 5.5¢ | -$6 |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?Politics | Yes | $7 | 34¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $10 | 4.8¢ | 1.7¢ | -$6 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 54¢ | 21¢ | -$3 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?Politics | Yes | $6 | 3.8¢ | 1.3¢ | -$4 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | No | $91 | 8.2¢ | 0.1¢ | -$89 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | No | $144 | 21¢ | 0.1¢ | -$143 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $265 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$265 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $83 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | YesResolved | $125 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
 Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $71 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $158 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$158 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Politics | NoResolved | $238 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$238 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $77 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Tech | NoResolved | $78 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
 Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $61 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |