 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 13¢ | 6.5¢ | -$531 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $1.1K | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | -$550 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics | No | $384 | 64¢ | 65¢ | +$6 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Politics | No | $202 | 84¢ | 91¢ | +$16 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 56¢ | 91¢ | +$62 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Politics | No | $166 | 83¢ | 80¢ | -$7 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Politics | No | $100 | 69¢ | 89¢ | +$29 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Politics | No | $100 | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$14 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Economy | Up | $85 | 85¢ | 91¢ | +$6 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Politics | Yes | $91 | 91¢ | 91¢ | -$0 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | No | $99 | 50¢ | 44¢ | -$13 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Politics | Yes | $62 | 28¢ | 39¢ | +$22 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Politics | No | $84 | 76¢ | 62¢ | -$16 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Politics | No | $68 | 17¢ | 15¢ | -$9 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $108 | 34¢ | 16¢ | -$60 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Politics | No | $37 | 57¢ | 73¢ | +$10 |
 Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?Politics | No | $48 | 95¢ | 95¢ | -$0 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Politics | Yes | $100 | 17¢ | 6.5¢ | -$61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | Yes | $60 | 32¢ | 17¢ | -$29 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Politics | No | $30 | 88¢ | 88¢ | -$0 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $83 | 29¢ | 9.6¢ | -$55 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Politics | Yes | $36 | 36¢ | 26¢ | -$10 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Tech | No | $20 | 30¢ | 37¢ | +$5 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Politics | Yes | $10 | 42¢ | 86¢ | +$10 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | No | $20 | 27¢ | 27¢ | -$0 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Politics | No | $15 | 75¢ | 84¢ | +$2 |
 Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Politics | Yes | $11 | 21¢ | 30¢ | +$4 |
 Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31?Politics | Yes | $40 | 40¢ | 8.5¢ | -$32 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Tech | Yes | $71 | 71¢ | 8.5¢ | -$63 |
 Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Politics | Yes | $10 | 13¢ | 9.6¢ | -$3 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Politics | Yes | $7 | 37¢ | 22¢ | -$3 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | No | $31 | 31¢ | 3.5¢ | -$28 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?Economy | Yes | $7 | 10.0¢ | 4.8¢ | -$4 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Politics | Yes | $25 | 72¢ | 9.5¢ | -$22 |
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Tech | Yes | $5 | 10¢ | 5.5¢ | -$2 |
 Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Politics | Yes | $2 | 1.2¢ | 1.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $4 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $6 | 6.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $20 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $265 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$265 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $83 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$83 |
 Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics | YesResolved | $125 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$125 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Politics | NoResolved | $91 | 8.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$91 |
 Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 42¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics | YesResolved | $14 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $41 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$41 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $71 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $35 | 76¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $6 | 3.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $12 | 7.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $50 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?Politics | YesResolved | $100 | 47¢ | 0.0¢ | -$100 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Politics | YesResolved | $19 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $33 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Politics | YesResolved | $32 | 2.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 |
| Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Politics | NoResolved | $158 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$158 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Politics | NoResolved | $238 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$238 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Politics | NoResolved | $60 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $25 | 9.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $77 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$77 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Politics | NoResolved | $144 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Tech | NoResolved | $78 | 78¢ | 0.0¢ | -$78 |
 Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $20 | 59¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Culture | YesResolved | $61 | 9.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$61 |
 Will 220-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |