 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $650 | 65¢ | 41¢ | -$245 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Politics | No | $539 | 45¢ | 27¢ | -$219 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $374 | 47¢ | 39¢ | -$66 |
 Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | No | $231 | 77¢ | 73¢ | -$14 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | No | $168 | 42¢ | 39¢ | -$14 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Tech | Yes | $144 | 72¢ | 65¢ | -$15 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Politics | Yes | $181 | 25¢ | 18¢ | -$53 |
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Culture | No | $109 | 73¢ | 64¢ | -$14 |
 Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $134 | 67¢ | 42¢ | -$50 |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Tech | No | $71 | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$1 |
 Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?eSports | No | $66 | 66¢ | 67¢ | +$1 |
 Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?eSports | Yes | $70 | 90¢ | 67¢ | -$18 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Economy | Yes | $74 | 37¢ | 21¢ | -$32 |
 Will Bekim Sejdiu be the next President of Kosovo?Politics | Yes | $88 | 73¢ | 34¢ | -$47 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics | Yes | $46 | 23¢ | 20¢ | -$7 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Tech | Yes | $8 | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$0 |
 Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?Politics | Yes | $9 | 45¢ | 26¢ | -$4 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 September 7-13?Crypto | Yes | $1 | 1.0¢ | 2.0¢ | +$1 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $154 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$154 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%?Politics | YesResolved | $11 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
 LoL: Bubliki vs Dominion Goblins (BO3) - LPLOL Group StageeSports | BublikiResolved | $3 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 4–5%?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 August 31-September 6?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $11 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?Politics | YesResolved | $7 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $132 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$132 |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?Politics | NoResolved | $56 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$56 |
 Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 13, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $528 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$528 |
 Will Hanwha Life Win the Shortest Game in LCK 2026 Rounds 3-4?eSports | NoResolved | $6 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$6 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 15, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $4 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?Politics | YesResolved | $22 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 14, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?Politics | NoResolved | $13 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model released by August 31, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.50 by September 30, 2026?Crypto | NoResolved | $8 | 5.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on August 21?Crypto | YesResolved | $24 | 5.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will it rain during the Italian Grand Prix?Formula 1 | YesResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 3–4%?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 4–5%?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?Tech | NoResolved | $54 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$54 |
Sold No · OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$103h ago