 Fed rate hike in 2026?Economy | Yes | $90 | 63¢ | 87¢ | +$33 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $22 | 21¢ | 93¢ | +$75 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Politics | Yes | $79 | 74¢ | 75¢ | +$1 |
 Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?Politics | Yes | $40 | 63¢ | 99¢ | +$23 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics | Yes | $40 | 72¢ | 97¢ | +$14 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Politics | Yes | $122 | 74¢ | 21¢ | -$88 |
 Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 29?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
 Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $20 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 23?Weather | YesResolved | $19 | 63¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $8 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 24?Finance | YesResolved | $26 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 1.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 52¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 23?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 36¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Politics | YesResolved | $30 | 77¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 45¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 31¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Iran strike Safaniya Field by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 38¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 15?Weather | YesResolved | $18 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$18 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 25?Crypto | YesResolved | $50 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?Weather | YesResolved | $27 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27 |
 Will Trump say "Ukraine" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Mentions | YesResolved | $50 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Iran strike Khurais Field by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?Weather | YesResolved | $9 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?Mentions | YesResolved | $24 | 73¢ | 0.0¢ | -$24 |
 Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
 Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 44¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $19 | 7.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$19 |
 Will "Data Center" be said 5+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Mentions | YesResolved | $10 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?Weather | YesResolved | $26 | 74¢ | 0.0¢ | -$26 |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 13?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 39¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 10?Weather | YesResolved | $14 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$14 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?Weather | YesResolved | $33 | 83¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will Iran strike Burj Khalifa by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $13 | 48¢ | 0.0¢ | -$13 |
| Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13?Weather | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Politics | YesResolved | $35 | 71¢ | 0.0¢ | -$35 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 55¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?Weather | YesResolved | $33 | 60¢ | 0.0¢ | -$33 |
| Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 70¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $65 | 4.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$65 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12?Weather | YesResolved | $20 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $55 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$55 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 24?Crypto | YesResolved | $60 | 58¢ | 0.0¢ | -$60 |
| Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $10 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 25?Weather | YesResolved | $50 | 81¢ | 0.0¢ | -$50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 30¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 51¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15?Weather | YesResolved | $11 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $1 | 23¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 33¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?Weather | YesResolved | $44 | 66¢ | 0.0¢ | -$44 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $3 | 34¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 15?Weather | YesResolved | $17 | 72¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 12?Weather | YesResolved | $10 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 27?Weather | YesResolved | $36 | 79¢ | 0.0¢ | -$36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on June 11?Weather | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 17?Weather | YesResolved | $15 | 69¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 10?Crypto | YesResolved | $10 | 57¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?Politics | NoResolved | $30 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 2?Crypto | YesResolved | $20 | 49¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 |
| Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?Weather | YesResolved | $30 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$30 |
Sold Yes · Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?$2714d ago
Sold Yes · Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$1626d ago
Sold Yes · Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$1426d ago
Sold Yes · Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?$826d ago
Cashed out Yes · Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?$251mo ago