US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Politics | No | $14 | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$4 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Economy | Yes | $15 | 79¢ | 85¢ | +$1 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Politics | No | $15 | 79¢ | 88¢ | +$2 |
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Tech | No | $14 | 75¢ | 79¢ | +$1 |
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Politics | No | $13 | 71¢ | 82¢ | +$2 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Politics | No | $14 | 88¢ | 78¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Politics | No | $10 | 81¢ | 96¢ | +$2 |
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Tech | No | $12 | 79¢ | 73¢ | -$1 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Politics | No | $6 | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$5 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Politics | No | $11 | 87¢ | 85¢ | -$0 |
AI bubble burst in 2026?Tech | No | $10 | 84¢ | 80¢ | -$0 |
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$4 |
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech | No | $5 | 21¢ | 11¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Politics | Yes | $5 | 25¢ | 12¢ | -$3 |
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?World Cup | YesResolved | $25 | 54¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Tech | YesResolved | $5 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 32¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?World Cup | NoResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?World Cup | YesResolved | $5 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 21 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump say "April Fool" or "April Fool's" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Tech | YesResolved | $10 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Will France win on 2026-07-14?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 5.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?Crypto | NoResolved | $5 | 50¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 80¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Alexei Gorinov win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Brazil leading at halftime?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Tech | NoResolved | $3 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | YesResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $1 | 2.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Politics | NoResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 43¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?Crypto | NoResolved | $1 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 46¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Tech | NoResolved | $2 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 9, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Politics | DownResolved | $10 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10 |
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5)eSports | Invictus GamingResolved | $15 | 100¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Japan?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?World Cup | YesResolved | $1 | 10¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?World Cup | YesResolved | $4 | 29¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $4 | 16¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4 |
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?Politics | NoResolved | $5 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal?World Cup | YesResolved | $3 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 3.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 21 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 25¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?Politics | YesResolved | $5 | 40¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETCrypto | UpResolved | $3 | 28¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?Mentions | NoResolved | $2 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?World Cup | YesResolved | $2 | 26¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $3 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 |