 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Epstein client list released in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Russell T. Vought be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce Rick Rieder as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 35¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Trump abolishes the Federal Income Tax in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Jay Kelly win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Another US military action against Iran before 2026?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Crypto | UpResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Missing Epstein cell footage released by August 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 22¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-08?Bundesliga | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 2.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 27¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Linda McMahon be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 17¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump be impeached in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 12¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Bill Ackman announce NYC mayoral run before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 0.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
| Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iranian coup attempt before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be deported before November?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 3.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce Ron Paul as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 18¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 15¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 5?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 1.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23m and $26m?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 3.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before October?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 11¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Tech | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 13¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will between 220 and 229 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Menendez brother released from custody before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Brooke Rollins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Politics | NoResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved before August?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?Crypto | YesResolved | $1 | 0.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will A House of Dynamite win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Trump announce run for 3rd term?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 6.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 21¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 14¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 19¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 4.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 0.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 24¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Will Meta announce WhatsApp sale in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 9.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Culture | YesResolved | $1 | 1.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 7.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $2 | 20¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 |
| Will Doug Burgum be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $0 | 0.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$0 |
 Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 5.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?Politics | YesResolved | $1 | 0.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Economy | YesResolved | $1 | 2.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 |
Cashed out No · Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$46mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Wisconsin judge convicted for obstructing immigration operation?$07mo ago
Bought No · Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$17mo ago
Cashed out No · Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$07mo ago
Cashed out Yes · Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$57mo ago